Extraction report — Francis et al. (2019)

Source: papers/francis2019stakesscalesskepticism/francis2019stakesscalesskepticism.yaml · Generated: 2026-05-27 21:40 UTC
5 studies54 effects

Paper

paper_idfrancis2019stakesscalesskepticism
short_labelFrancis et al. (2019)
citationFrancis, K. B., Beaman, C. P., & Hansen, N. (2019). Stakes, Scales, and Skepticism. Ergo, 6(16).
doi10.3998/ergo.12405314.0006.016
year2019
publishedYes
publication_languageEnglish
publication_language_other
research_objectiveInvestigate the scalarity of stakes effects on knowledge judgments by varying stakes magnitude across multiple scenarios using evidence-fixed and evidence-seeking paradigms, and replicate Sripada & Stanley (2012).
data_available_onlineYes
data_urlhttps://researchdata.reading.ac.uk/205/
notesEffect sizes were recovered from the public raw data; analysis/effect_sizes.qmd is the source of truth for computed d and v values. For evidence-seeking effects, YAML stores raw low-minus-high d values; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically. Study 1 negative-polarity evidence-fixed effects are reverse-coded to align with knowledge-attribution direction.

Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design (multiple scenarios; 4 stakes levels; polarity manipulation)

study_id: 1

Study

study_id1
labelExperiment 1: Evidence-fixed design (multiple scenarios; 4 stakes levels; polarity manipulation)
objectiveTest whether varying stakes magnitude (4 levels) affects agreement with knowledge attributions/denials across six scenarios, and whether this interacts with prompt polarity ('knows' vs 'doesn't know').
study_languageEnglish
study_language_other
design
design_other2 (polarity: know vs doesn't know; between-subjects) × 4 (stakes scale: 1–4; within-subjects) mixed design; six scenarios presented in a randomized block design.
manipulated_factorsPrompt polarity: 'knows' vs 'doesn't know'
paradigmAgreement with knowledge claim
paradigm_other
notesEffects are scenario-by-polarity lowest-vs-highest stakes contrasts recovered from raw data. Study 1 negative-polarity evidence-fixed effects reverse-code agreement with “doesn’t know” to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.

Sample

n_final97
recruitmentmTurk
recruitment_other
compensationmoney
compensation_other$1.75
characteristicsMTurk sample: 44 females, 52 males, 1 non-binary; ages 20–71; positive polarity N=55, negative polarity N=42.
mean_age39.64
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
One hundred and twenty participants were recruited from MTurk and paid $1.75 each... leaving a final sample of 97 participants... Participants were randomly assigned to the positive polarity condition (N = 55) or the negative polarity condition (N = 42).

Scale

labelLikert 7-point
points7
anchors1 = strongly disagree; 7 = strongly agree
directionHigher numbers indicate stronger agreement with the prompt sentence (note: control Prompt 2 uses a reversed Likert scale).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Prompt 1... "You know the coin landed heads" 1 (strongly disagree) -7 (strongly agree)... Prompt 2... "You don't know that the coin landed heads" 1 (strongly agree) -7 (strongly disagree).

Measures

knowledge_question_textTo what extent do you agree or disagree with the following claim: Subject x knows that P / doesn't know that P (scenario-specific).
knowledge_question_first
additional_question_text

Scenarios

Scenarios (6)
paramedic · Paramedic GPS/wrong-turn scenario; stakes scaled by severity of consequences (lives).
scenario_codeparamedic
scenario_typeParamedic GPS/wrong-turn scenario; stakes scaled by severity of consequences (lives).
High stakes text
High stakes example: school bus carrying 50 children on fire; wrong turn → children die.
Low stakes text
Low stakes example: one person with a broken arm; wrong turn → inconvenienced.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Paramedic (low): "there is one person... with a broken arm... If Megan makes a wrong turn... will be inconvenienced". Higher stakes: "a school bus carrying 50 children... on fire... the children will die."
vaccine · Vaccine checklist scenario; stakes scaled by number/severity of harms (lives).
scenario_codevaccine
scenario_typeVaccine checklist scenario; stakes scaled by number/severity of harms (lives).
High stakes text
High stakes example: 100 participants die after excruciating pain if steps not followed.
Low stakes text
Low stakes example: 1 participant gets mild cold-like symptoms if steps not followed.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Low: "one human research participant... will give them mild cold-like symptoms." High: "100 human research participants... will kill them all after several days of excruciating pain."
mountaineering · Mountaineering rope-inspection scenario; stakes scaled by injury severity (physical injury).
scenario_codemountaineering
scenario_typeMountaineering rope-inspection scenario; stakes scaled by injury severity (physical injury).
High stakes text
High stakes example: 1,000-foot drop; fall would be fatal.
Low stakes text
Low stakes example: 5-foot drop; minor injuries possible.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Low: "drop... around 5 feet... minor injuries". High: "drop... around 1,000 feet... fatal".
game_show · Game show trivia scenario; stakes scaled by money at stake.
scenario_codegame_show
scenario_typeGame show trivia scenario; stakes scaled by money at stake.
High stakes text
High stakes example: $1,000,000 at stake.
Low stakes text
Low stakes example: $1 at stake.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Low: "only $1 is at stake". High: "$1,000,000 is at stake".
introduction · Guest-speaker name introduction scenario; stakes scaled by embarrassment/reputation.
scenario_codeintroduction
scenario_typeGuest-speaker name introduction scenario; stakes scaled by embarrassment/reputation.
High stakes text
High stakes example: national television interview; wrong name → very embarrassed and reflects badly on university reputation.
Low stakes text
Low stakes example: lunch with 5 colleagues; wrong name → slightly embarrassed.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Low: "lunch... 5 colleagues... slightly embarrassed". High: "national television... thousands... very embarrassed... reflect very badly... university's reputation".
arson · Arson/sprinkler system scenario; stakes scaled by value of possessions (including baby).
scenario_codearson
scenario_typeArson/sprinkler system scenario; stakes scaled by value of possessions (including baby).
High stakes text
High stakes example: nursery room where baby sleeps; sprinklers failing puts baby at risk.
Low stakes text
Low stakes example: storage room with garbage/recycling at risk.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Low: "storage room... garbage and recycling". High: "nursery room, where her baby sleeps... the baby, is at risk from arson".

Effects

s1_e1 · Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Paramedic -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.121513595094 · v=0.011522200282

Effect

effect_ids1_e1
subgroupExperiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Paramedic -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.121513595094
v0.011522200282
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Paramedic Low vs Paramedic 3.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Paramedic: lives... Megan... paramedic... accident...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan is familiar with the surrounding area... traveling on the right route to get to the accident.
awarenessYesThe stakes are conveyed to the protagonist within the vignette (she is told the consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence comes from the agent’s own navigation resources/knowledge (familiarity + checking GPS).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
attribution_personOtherParticipants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Paramedic +Subject x... knows that she will make it to the accident without taking a wrong turn.
evidence_reliabilityMediumFamiliarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes555.509090909091.34539994429
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Paramedic Low.
stakes4Highest stakes555.672727272731.3479002251
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Paramedic 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered
s1_e2 · Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Vaccine -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.0802223158773 · v=0.0153833192653

Effect

effect_ids1_e2
subgroupExperiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Vaccine -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.0802223158773
v0.0153833192653
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Vaccine Low vs Vaccine 3.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine has done this before, and she has a check list that specifies all of the steps...
awarenessYesThe vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is based on the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (consulting a checklist).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of the steps correctly.
attribution_personOtherParticipants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Elaine knows...").
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine knows that she is making the vaccine correctly
evidence_reliabilityHighThe vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of the steps correctly.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes555.981818181821.14650691864
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Vaccine Low.
stakes4Highest stakes556.072727272731.11976428496
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Vaccine 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered
s1_e3 · Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Mountaineering -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.112815214964 · v=0.0146515699543

Effect

effect_ids1_e3
subgroupExperiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Mountaineering -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.112815214964
v0.0146515699543
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Mountaineering Low vs Mountaineering 3.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Mountaineering: personal injury... mountain climbing expedition... inspect the rope...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
awarenessYesThe stakes are described within the scenario (agent is in the situation and consequences are described).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Visibility is reducing... the drop... If not tied together securely... injuries...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence comes from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
attribution_personOtherParticipants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Mountaineering +Subject x... knows that the rope is tied securely.
evidence_reliabilityHighThe relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes555.836363636361.21355975243
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Mountaineering Low.
stakes4Highest stakes555.963636363641.03572548135
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Mountaineering 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered
s1_e4 · Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Game show -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=0.0385435142968 · v=0.00648211042106

Effect

effect_ids1_e4
subgroupExperiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Game show -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Game show; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.0385435142968
v0.00648211042106
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: GameShow low vs GameShow 3.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?" ... "Dodoma"
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Emma has recently read a list of the most obscure world capitals and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
awarenessYesStakes are described as part of the protagonist’s situation (game show winnings/losses).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own memory (first-person evidence).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
attribution_personOtherParticipants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Game show +Subject x... knows that the capital of Tanzania is Dodoma.
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes555.272727272731.45874813726
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: GameShow low.
stakes4Highest stakes555.218181818181.37019745929
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: GameShow 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered
s1_e5 · Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Introduction -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.129102557916 · v=0.0126670930616

Effect

effect_ids1_e5
subgroupExperiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Introduction -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.129102557916
v0.0126670930616
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceExternal
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Intro Low vs Intro 3.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Introduction: reputation... introduce a guest speaker... "Dr. Woodbridge"
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
awarenessYesStakes are described within the scenario as consequences of misnaming the speaker.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... it will reflect very badly...
evidenceExternalEvidence is from an external written source (notebook with the name).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
attribution_personOtherParticipants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Introduction +Subject x... knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge".
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes555.981818181821.22460740634
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Intro Low.
stakes4Highest stakes556.127272727271.01934157134
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Intro 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered
s1_e6 · Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Possessions/Arson -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=0.0164528734539 · v=0.0159562267938

Effect

effect_ids1_e6
subgroupExperiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Possessions/Arson -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.0164528734539
v0.0159562267938
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Personal Val Low vs Personal Val 3.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.
awarenessYesThe risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence comes from the agent’s own prior checking/inspection (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
attribution_personOtherParticipants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Arson +Subject x... knows that the sprinklers are working in the x room.
evidence_reliabilityMediumA week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is coded Medium for current harmonization.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes555.909090909091.00503781526
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Personal Val Low.
stakes4Highest stakes555.890909090911.19679707232
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Personal Val 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered
s1_e7 · Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Paramedic -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.149740006799 · v=0.0210717079245

Effect

effect_ids1_e7
subgroupExperiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Paramedic -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; negative_polarity_reverse_coded
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.149740006799
v0.0210717079245
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Paramedic Low vs Paramedic 3. For this negative-polarity evidence-fixed effect, group means are reverse-coded knowledge-attribution scores (8 - raw agreement with denial).

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Paramedic: lives... Megan... paramedic... accident...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan is familiar with the surrounding area... traveling on the right route to get to the accident.
awarenessYesThe stakes are conveyed to the protagonist within the vignette (she is told the consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence comes from the agent’s own navigation resources/knowledge (familiarity + checking GPS).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
attribution_personOtherParticipants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Paramedic +Subject x... knows that she will make it to the accident without taking a wrong turn.
evidence_reliabilityMediumFamiliarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes425.428571428571.54829342941
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Paramedic Low. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.
stakes4Highest stakes425.642857142861.30330590108
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Paramedic 3. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; negative_polarity_reverse_coded
s1_e8 · Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Vaccine -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=0.0484386042375 · v=0.0103158241577

Effect

effect_ids1_e8
subgroupExperiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Vaccine -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; negative_polarity_reverse_coded
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.0484386042375
v0.0103158241577
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Vaccine Low vs Vaccine 3. For this negative-polarity evidence-fixed effect, group means are reverse-coded knowledge-attribution scores (8 - raw agreement with denial).

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine has done this before, and she has a check list that specifies all of the steps...
awarenessYesThe vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is based on the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (consulting a checklist).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of the steps correctly.
attribution_personOtherParticipants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Elaine knows...").
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine knows that she is making the vaccine correctly
evidence_reliabilityHighThe vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of the steps correctly.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes425.619047619051.43054451431
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Vaccine Low. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.
stakes4Highest stakes425.547619047621.51741726905
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Vaccine 3. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; negative_polarity_reverse_coded
s1_e9 · Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Mountaineering -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=0.0406284919837 · v=0.0125311746321

Effect

effect_ids1_e9
subgroupExperiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Mountaineering -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; negative_polarity_reverse_coded
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.0406284919837
v0.0125311746321
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Mountaineering Low vs Mountaineering 3. For this negative-polarity evidence-fixed effect, group means are reverse-coded knowledge-attribution scores (8 - raw agreement with denial).

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Mountaineering: personal injury... mountain climbing expedition... inspect the rope...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
awarenessYesThe stakes are described within the scenario (agent is in the situation and consequences are described).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Visibility is reducing... the drop... If not tied together securely... injuries...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence comes from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
attribution_personOtherParticipants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Mountaineering +Subject x... knows that the rope is tied securely.
evidence_reliabilityHighThe relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes425.404761904761.79510885341
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Mountaineering Low. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.
stakes4Highest stakes425.333333333331.72027602247
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Mountaineering 3. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; negative_polarity_reverse_coded
s1_e10 · Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Game show -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=0.131502174867 · v=0.0104410020413

Effect

effect_ids1_e10
subgroupExperiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Game show -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Game show; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; negative_polarity_reverse_coded
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.131502174867
v0.0104410020413
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: GameShow low vs GameShow 3. For this negative-polarity evidence-fixed effect, group means are reverse-coded knowledge-attribution scores (8 - raw agreement with denial).

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?" ... "Dodoma"
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Emma has recently read a list of the most obscure world capitals and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
awarenessYesStakes are described as part of the protagonist’s situation (game show winnings/losses).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own memory (first-person evidence).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
attribution_personOtherParticipants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Game show +Subject x... knows that the capital of Tanzania is Dodoma.
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes425.333333333331.60284300262
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: GameShow low. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.
stakes4Highest stakes425.119047619051.65577159012
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: GameShow 3. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; negative_polarity_reverse_coded
s1_e11 · Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Introduction -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=0.166792146986 · v=0.0187820334615

Effect

effect_ids1_e11
subgroupExperiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Introduction -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; negative_polarity_reverse_coded
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.166792146986
v0.0187820334615
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceExternal
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Intro Low vs Intro 3. For this negative-polarity evidence-fixed effect, group means are reverse-coded knowledge-attribution scores (8 - raw agreement with denial).

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Introduction: reputation... introduce a guest speaker... "Dr. Woodbridge"
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
awarenessYesStakes are described within the scenario as consequences of misnaming the speaker.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... it will reflect very badly...
evidenceExternalEvidence is from an external written source (notebook with the name).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
attribution_personOtherParticipants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Introduction +Subject x... knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge".
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes425.976190476191.19935135392
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Intro Low. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.
stakes4Highest stakes425.73809523811.62389960956
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Intro 3. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; negative_polarity_reverse_coded
s1_e12 · Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Possessions/Arson -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.0170691726829 · v=0.0217680938563

Effect

effect_ids1_e12
subgroupExperiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Possessions/Arson -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; negative_polarity_reverse_coded
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.0170691726829
v0.0217680938563
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Personal Val Low vs Personal Val 3. For this negative-polarity evidence-fixed effect, group means are reverse-coded knowledge-attribution scores (8 - raw agreement with denial).

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.
awarenessYesThe risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence comes from the agent’s own prior checking/inspection (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
attribution_personOtherParticipants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Arson +Subject x... knows that the sprinklers are working in the x room.
evidence_reliabilityMediumA week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is coded Medium for current harmonization.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes425.785714285711.3710546819
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Personal Val Low. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.
stakes4Highest stakes425.809523809521.41831392923
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Personal Val 3. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; negative_polarity_reverse_coded

Appendix II: Registered replication of Sripada & Stanley (2012) (pine nuts)

study_id: 2

Study

study_id2
labelAppendix II: Registered replication of Sripada & Stanley (2012) (pine nuts)
objectiveReplicate Sripada & Stanley’s evidence-fixed design across three vignette pairs (basic; implicit/explicit; ignorant), measuring (i) evidence strength and (ii) agreement with a knowledge attribution.
study_languageEnglish
study_language_other
designBetween-Subjects
design_other3 vignette pairs × 2 stakes (low vs high) between-subjects; each participant reads one vignette and answers Q1 (evidence strength) then Q2 (knowledge agreement).
manipulated_factorsVignette pair type: Basic vs Implicit/Explicit vs Ignorant
paradigmAgreement with knowledge claim
paradigm_other
notes

Sample

n_final367
recruitmentmTurk
recruitment_other
compensationmoney
compensation_other$0.50
characteristicsMTurk sample: 183 females, 246 males, 1 non-binary; ages 20–67; 63 suspicious/VPS responses removed; assigned to six conditions (N=58–68 per condition).
mean_age35.99
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Four hundred and thirty participants... recruited from MTurk and paid $0.50... Following screening procedures, 63 VPS and further suspicious responses were flagged and removed... randomly assigned to one of six conditions (N = 58 -68 per condition).

Scale

labelLikert 7-point
points7
anchorsQ1: 1 = Very weak evidence; 7 = Very strong evidence. Q2: 1 = Strongly agree; 7 = Strongly disagree.
directionHigher numbers indicate stronger evidence (Q1). For Q2, anchors are Strongly agree (1) to Strongly disagree (7) (paper reports effects in terms of 'levels of agreement').
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Participants responded to the first question (evidence prompt) along a 7-point Likert-type scale (1-Very weak evidence, 7-Very strong evidence) and to the second prompt (knowledge prompt) along another 7-point Likert-type scale (1-Strongly agree, 7-Strongly disagree).

Measures

knowledge_question_text"Hannah knows her noodles are not topped with pine nuts."
knowledge_question_first
additional_question_textWhat is the strength of Hannah's evidence that her noodles are not topped with pine nuts?

Scenarios

Scenarios (1)
peanuts · Pine-nuts/noodles vignette (Sripada & Stanley 2012 replication).
scenario_codepeanuts
scenario_typePine-nuts/noodles vignette (Sripada & Stanley 2012 replication).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
What is the strength of Hannah's evidence that her noodles are not topped with pine nuts?

Effects

s2_e1 · Basic — Evidence strength (Q1) · Between-Subjects · d=0.565873199091 · v=0.0332179460976

Effect

effect_ids2_e1
subgroupBasic — Evidence strength (Q1)
subgroup_descStrength of evidence rating (7-point)
designBetween-Subjects
design_other
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered
notesRaw-data recovered values replace previously missing or rounded reported-d-only effect sizes.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.565873199091
v0.0332179460976
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd.

Moderators

scenariopeanuts
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceExternal
attribution_person
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highBasic_high
group_lowBasic_low
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notes

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariopeanutsThis is the Sripada & Stanley-style pine-nuts restaurant vignette (coded as peanuts-style scenario).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
What is the strength of Hannah's evidence that her noodles are not topped with pine nuts?
skeptical_pressureNoCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no explicit prompt says that the menu might be wrong.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
awarenessYesCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; the Basic vignette protagonist is aware of the allergy stakes.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Hannah is very much aware of this, and has known this for a very long time.
evidenceExternalCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; evidence is from an external written source (the menu).
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
attribution_personDV is evidence-strength (not a knowledge attribution), so self/other knowledge-ascription coding is not applicable.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
What is the strength of Hannah's evidence...
evidence_reliabilityHighCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; menu.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Sarah says, 'The noodles may be topped with pine nuts.' Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
Basic_lowBasic low stakes583.931034482761.82441597447
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Basic Low__Strength_Evidence.
Basic_highBasic high stakes682.897058823531.82960484994
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Basic High__Strength_Evidence.

Reported Test

testt
t3.17
f
chi2
z
df1124
df2
p0.002
reported_d0.57
reported_r
notesDirection reported: strength of evidence higher in low-stakes scenario.
Provenance
page12
table_refFigure 2
tei_id
In the strength of evidence comparison (left panel) there was a medium effect of stakes in the basic vignette pair, (t(124) = 3.17, p =.002, d = 0.57) with strength of evidence higher in the low stakes scenario.

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered
s2_e2 · Basic — Knowledge attribution (Q2) · Between-Subjects · d=0.458627340663 · v=0.0327819403839

Effect

effect_ids2_e2
subgroupBasic — Knowledge attribution (Q2)
subgroup_descAgreement with 'Hannah knows...' reverse-coded to agreement
designBetween-Subjects
design_other
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; q2_reverse_coded_to_agreement
notesRaw-data recovered values replace previously missing or rounded reported-d-only effect sizes.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.458627340663
v0.0327819403839
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; Q2 was reverse-coded to agreement before computing low minus high.

Moderators

scenariopeanuts
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceExternal
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highBasic_high
group_lowBasic_low
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notes

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariopeanutsThis is the Sripada & Stanley-style pine-nuts restaurant vignette (coded as peanuts-style scenario).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
"Hannah knows her noodles are not topped with pine nuts."
skeptical_pressureNoCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no explicit prompt says that the menu might be wrong.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
awarenessYesCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; the Basic vignette protagonist is aware of the allergy stakes.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Hannah is very much aware of this, and has known this for a very long time.
evidenceExternalCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; evidence is from an external written source (the menu).
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
attribution_personOtherParticipants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ('Hannah knows...').
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
"Hannah knows her noodles are not topped with pine nuts."
evidence_reliabilityHighCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; menu.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Sarah says, 'The noodles may be topped with pine nuts.' Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
Basic_lowBasic low stakes583.724137931031.84289154423
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Basic Low__Know_Prompt.
Basic_highBasic high stakes682.911764705881.70806073258
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Basic High__Know_Prompt.

Reported Test

testt
t-2.57
f
chi2
z
df1124
df2
p0.011
reported_d0.46
reported_r
notesDirection reported: levels of agreement higher in low-stakes scenario.
Provenance
page12
table_refFigure 2
tei_id
For the levels of agreement comparison (right panel) there was a smaller effect of stakes in the basic vignette pair, (t(124) = -.2.57, p =.011, d = 0.46) with levels of agreement are higher in the low stakes scenario.

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; q2_reverse_coded_to_agreement
s2_e3 · Implicit/Explicit — Evidence strength (Q1) · Between-Subjects · d=0.0995353183474 · v=0.0336764491585

Effect

effect_ids2_e3
subgroupImplicit/Explicit — Evidence strength (Q1)
subgroup_descStrength of evidence rating (7-point)
designBetween-Subjects
design_other
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered
notesRaw-data recovered values replace previously missing or rounded reported-d-only effect sizes.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.0995353183474
v0.0336764491585
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd.

Moderators

scenariopeanuts
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceExternal
attribution_person
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highImplicitExplicit_high
group_lowImplicitExplicit_low
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notes

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariopeanutsSame pine-nuts/noodles vignette family; coded as peanuts-style scenario.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
What is the strength of Hannah's evidence that her noodles are not topped with pine nuts?
skeptical_pressureNoCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no explicit prompt says that the menu might be wrong.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
awarenessYesCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no ignorance manipulation is present.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Implicit Low Stakes: "Hannah likes the taste of most foods and is not a very picky eater."
evidenceExternalCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; evidence is from an external written source (the menu).
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
attribution_personDV is evidence-strength (not a knowledge attribution), so self/other knowledge-ascription coding is not applicable.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
What is the strength of Hannah's evidence...
evidence_reliabilityHighCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; menu.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Sarah says, 'The noodles may be topped with pine nuts.' Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
ImplicitExplicit_lowImplicit/Explicit low stakes583.620689655171.94510258789
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Implicit Low__Strength_Evidence.
ImplicitExplicit_highImplicit/Explicit high stakes613.42622950821.96179353648
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Explicit High__Strength_Evidence.

Reported Test

testt
t0.54
f
chi2
z
df1117
df2
p0.588
reported_d
reported_r
notesEffect not significant per Figure 2 caption.
Provenance
page12
table_refFigure 2
tei_id
The effect of stakes was not significant in the other vignettes [Implicit/Explicit: t(117) = 0.54, p = .588; ...].

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered
s2_e4 · Implicit/Explicit — Knowledge attribution (Q2) · Between-Subjects · d=0.270934142758 · v=0.0339432476044

Effect

effect_ids2_e4
subgroupImplicit/Explicit — Knowledge attribution (Q2)
subgroup_descAgreement with 'Hannah knows...' reverse-coded to agreement
designBetween-Subjects
design_other
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; q2_reverse_coded_to_agreement
notesRaw-data recovered values replace previously missing or rounded reported-d-only effect sizes.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.270934142758
v0.0339432476044
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; Q2 was reverse-coded to agreement before computing low minus high.

Moderators

scenariopeanuts
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceExternal
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highImplicitExplicit_high
group_lowImplicitExplicit_low
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notes

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariopeanutsSame pine-nuts/noodles vignette family; coded as peanuts-style scenario.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
"Hannah knows her noodles are not topped with pine nuts."
skeptical_pressureNoCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no explicit prompt says that the menu might be wrong.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
awarenessYesCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no ignorance manipulation is present.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Implicit Low Stakes: "Hannah likes the taste of most foods and is not a very picky eater."
evidenceExternalCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; evidence is from an external written source (the menu).
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
attribution_personOtherParticipants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ('Hannah knows...').
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
"Hannah knows her noodles are not topped with pine nuts."
evidence_reliabilityHighCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; menu.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Sarah says, 'The noodles may be topped with pine nuts.' Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
ImplicitExplicit_lowImplicit/Explicit low stakes583.793103448281.92635116117
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Implicit Low__Know_Prompt.
ImplicitExplicit_highImplicit/Explicit high stakes613.278688524591.87199668394
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Explicit High__Know_Prompt.

Reported Test

testt
t-1.48
f
chi2
z
df1117
df2
p0.142
reported_d
reported_r
notesEffect not significant per Figure 2 caption.
Provenance
page12
table_refFigure 2
tei_id
Once again there was no significant effect of stakes in the other vignettes [Implicit/Explicit: t(117) = -1.48, p = .142; ...].

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; q2_reverse_coded_to_agreement
s2_e5 · Ignorant — Evidence strength (Q1) · Between-Subjects · d=0.119302333567 · v=0.0328540310837

Effect

effect_ids2_e5
subgroupIgnorant — Evidence strength (Q1)
subgroup_descStrength of evidence rating (7-point)
designBetween-Subjects
design_other
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered
notesRaw-data recovered values replace previously missing or rounded reported-d-only effect sizes.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.119302333567
v0.0328540310837
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd.

Moderators

scenariopeanuts
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessNo
evidenceExternal
attribution_person
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highIgnorant_high
group_lowIgnorant_low
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notes

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariopeanutsSame pine-nuts/noodles vignette family; coded as peanuts-style scenario.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
What is the strength of Hannah's evidence that her noodles are not topped with pine nuts?
skeptical_pressureNoCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no explicit prompt says that the menu might be wrong.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain Mongolian pine nuts.
awarenessNoPaper explicitly describes the Ignorant manipulation as the protagonist being unaware of the stakes.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
the protagonist being ignorant of the stakes involved (ignorant low/ignorant high)
evidenceExternalCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; evidence is from external sources (testimony + menu).
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Sarah says, 'I heard that Mongolian dishes are often served topped with Mongolian pine nuts.' Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain Mongolian pine nuts.
attribution_personDV is evidence-strength (not a knowledge attribution), so self/other knowledge-ascription coding is not applicable.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
What is the strength of Hannah's evidence...
evidence_reliabilityHighCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; menu.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Sarah says, 'I heard that Mongolian dishes are often served topped with Mongolian pine nuts.' Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain Mongolian pine nuts.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
Ignorant_lowIgnorant low stakes624.258064516131.88118800858
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Ignorant Low__Strength_Evidence.
Ignorant_highIgnorant high stakes604.033333333331.88631707048
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Ignorant High__Strength_Evidence.

Reported Test

testt
t0.84
f
chi2
z
df1120
df2
p0.511
reported_d
reported_r
notesEffect not significant per Figure 2 caption.
Provenance
page12
table_refFigure 2
tei_id
The effect of stakes was not significant... [ ... Ignorant: t(120) = 0.84, p =.511].

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered
s2_e6 · Ignorant — Knowledge attribution (Q2) · Between-Subjects · d=0.177466028998 · v=0.0329247734798

Effect

effect_ids2_e6
subgroupIgnorant — Knowledge attribution (Q2)
subgroup_descAgreement with 'Hannah knows...' reverse-coded to agreement
designBetween-Subjects
design_other
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; q2_reverse_coded_to_agreement
notesRaw-data recovered values replace previously missing or rounded reported-d-only effect sizes.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.177466028998
v0.0329247734798
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; Q2 was reverse-coded to agreement before computing low minus high.

Moderators

scenariopeanuts
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessNo
evidenceExternal
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highIgnorant_high
group_lowIgnorant_low
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notes

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariopeanutsSame pine-nuts/noodles vignette family; coded as peanuts-style scenario.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
"Hannah knows her noodles are not topped with pine nuts."
skeptical_pressureNoCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no explicit prompt says that the menu might be wrong.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain Mongolian pine nuts.
awarenessNoPaper explicitly describes the Ignorant manipulation as the protagonist being unaware of the stakes.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
the protagonist being ignorant of the stakes involved (ignorant low/ignorant high)
evidenceExternalCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; evidence is from external sources (testimony + menu).
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Sarah says, 'I heard that Mongolian dishes are often served topped with Mongolian pine nuts.' Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain Mongolian pine nuts.
attribution_personOtherParticipants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ('Hannah knows...').
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
"Hannah knows her noodles are not topped with pine nuts."
evidence_reliabilityHighCoded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; menu.
Provenance
page
table_refsripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
tei_id
Sarah says, 'I heard that Mongolian dishes are often served topped with Mongolian pine nuts.' Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain Mongolian pine nuts.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
Ignorant_lowIgnorant low stakes624.080645161292.01061435107
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Ignorant Low__Know_Prompt.
Ignorant_highIgnorant high stakes603.716666666672.09188639762
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Ignorant High__Know_Prompt.

Reported Test

testt
t-0.98
f
chi2
z
df1120
df2
p0.329
reported_d
reported_r
notesEffect not significant per Figure 2 caption.
Provenance
page12
table_refFigure 2
tei_id
Once again there was no significant effect of stakes... [ ... Ignorant: t(120) = -0.98, p =.329].

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; q2_reverse_coded_to_agreement

Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design (original prompts)

study_id: 3

Study

study_id3
labelExperiment 2: Evidence-seeking design (original prompts)
objectiveTest for stakes effects on how much evidence is needed for knowledge (positive prompt) or can be had while still not knowing (negative prompt), across six scenarios and four stakes levels.
study_languageEnglish
study_language_other
design
design_otherStakes (4 levels) within-subjects; prompt polarity (positive vs negative) between-subjects; six scenarios presented in a randomized block design.
manipulated_factorsPrompt polarity: evidence-seeking positive vs evidence-seeking negative
paradigmRating how much evidence is needed for knowledge
paradigm_other
notesEffects are scenario-by-polarity lowest-vs-highest stakes contrasts recovered from raw data; evidence-seeking cleaning is documented in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd. Evidence-seeking d values in this YAML use the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Sample

n_final109
recruitmentmTurk
recruitment_other
compensationmoney
compensation_other$1.75
characteristicsMTurk sample: 54 females, 55 males; ages 21–74; positive polarity N=58, negative polarity N=51.
mean_age38.98
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
One hundred and twenty participants were recruited from MTurk and paid $1.75... leaving a final sample of 109 participants... Participants were randomly assigned to a positive polarity condition (N = 58) or a negative polarity condition (N = 51).

Scale

labelother
points
anchorsNumeric free response (whole number of checks); positive prompt allows '0' (knows without checking) and both prompts allow 'never'.
directionHigher numbers indicate more evidence required for knowledge (positive) / more checking still insufficient for knowledge (negative).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
enter a whole number: 1, 2, 3 . . . etc. If you think Elaine knows without having to check, write "0"... If you think Elaine will never know... write "never".

Measures

knowledge_question_textHow many times does S need to check F before she knows that P?
knowledge_question_first
additional_question_textHow many times can S check F and still not know that P?

Scenarios

No scenarios recorded.

Effects

s3_e1 · Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Paramedic -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.661808915227 · v=0.0276260903612

Effect

effect_ids3_e1
subgroupExperiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Paramedic -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.661808915227
v0.0276260903612
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Paramedic Low vs Paramedic 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Paramedic: lives... Megan, a paramedic...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (she is told the consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is the agent’s own checking/navigation (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan... has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine correctly?
evidence_reliabilityMediumFamiliarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes391.948717948721.12270158074
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Paramedic Low.
stakes4Highest stakes392.769230769231.34676099668
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Paramedic 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s3_e2 · Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Vaccine -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.839514293934 · v=0.0227377109024

Effect

effect_ids3_e2
subgroupExperiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Vaccine -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.839514293934
v0.0227377109024
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Vaccine Low vs Vaccine 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine correctly?
evidence_reliabilityHighThe vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of the steps correctly.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes482.479166666671.58435950323
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Vaccine Low.
stakes4Highest stakes484.229166666672.48604259847
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Vaccine 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s3_e3 · Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Mountaineering -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.683958446104 · v=0.0211432766559

Effect

effect_ids3_e3
subgroupExperiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Mountaineering -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.683958446104
v0.0211432766559
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Mountaineering Low vs Mountaineering 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Mountaineering: personal injury... inspect the rope...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the situation (dangerous climb; consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
evidence_reliabilityHighThe relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes442.01.20077494357
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Mountaineering Low.
stakes4Highest stakes442.886363636361.38456456241
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Mountaineering 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s3_e4 · Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Game show -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.871275071557 · v=0.0732423045923

Effect

effect_ids3_e4
subgroupExperiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Game show -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Game show; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.871275071557
v0.0732423045923
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: GameShow low vs GameShow 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?"... "Dodoma"
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the scenario (money at stake in the game show).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own memory/consideration (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to spend considering her answer before she knows that the capital of Tanzania is Dodoma?
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes272.666666666672.44948974278
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: GameShow low.
stakes4Highest stakes275.481481481483.8567659865
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: GameShow 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s3_e5 · Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Introduction -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.668163278631 · v=0.0224825444801

Effect

effect_ids3_e5
subgroupExperiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Introduction -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.668163278631
v0.0224825444801
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceExternal
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Intro Low vs Intro 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Introduction: reputation... wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the scenario (embarrassment/reputation consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... reflect very badly...
evidenceExternalEvidence is from an external written source (notebook).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge"?
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge"?
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes501.740.828325086533
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Intro Low.
stakes4Highest stakes502.41.12485826772
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Intro 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s3_e6 · Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Possessions/Arson -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.813209200727 · v=0.0306234050604

Effect

effect_ids3_e6
subgroupExperiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Possessions/Arson -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.813209200727
v0.0306234050604
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Personal Val Low vs Personal Val 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own checking/inspection (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to check the sprinklers before she knows that they are working in the X room?
evidence_reliabilityMediumA week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is coded Medium for current harmonization.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes471.531914893620.905323959067
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Personal Val Low.
stakes4Highest stakes472.829787234042.06754579294
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Personal Val 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s3_e7 · Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Paramedic -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=0.0585626171598 · v=0.0377444913971

Effect

effect_ids3_e7
subgroupExperiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Paramedic -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.0585626171598
v0.0377444913971
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Paramedic Low vs Paramedic 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Paramedic: lives... Megan, a paramedic...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (she is told the consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is the agent’s own checking/navigation (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan... has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine correctly?
evidence_reliabilityMediumFamiliarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes352.257142857142.06287716185
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Paramedic Low.
stakes4Highest stakes352.142857142861.83339699406
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Paramedic 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s3_e8 · Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Vaccine -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.372724636385 · v=0.034404491619

Effect

effect_ids3_e8
subgroupExperiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Vaccine -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.372724636385
v0.034404491619
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Vaccine Low vs Vaccine 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine correctly?
evidence_reliabilityHighThe vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of the steps correctly.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes342.705882352941.9467052471
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Vaccine Low.
stakes4Highest stakes343.794117647063.64134017757
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Vaccine 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s3_e9 · Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Mountaineering -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.379749242052 · v=0.0431311478436

Effect

effect_ids3_e9
subgroupExperiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Mountaineering -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.379749242052
v0.0431311478436
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Mountaineering Low vs Mountaineering 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Mountaineering: personal injury... inspect the rope...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the situation (dangerous climb; consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
evidence_reliabilityHighThe relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes361.861111111111.26835726778
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Mountaineering Low.
stakes4Highest stakes362.472222222221.88961237312
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Mountaineering 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s3_e10 · Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Game show -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=0.0160686971955 · v=0.0283223978536

Effect

effect_ids3_e10
subgroupExperiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Game show -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Game show; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.0160686971955
v0.0283223978536
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Game Show Low vs Game Show 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?"... "Dodoma"
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the scenario (money at stake in the game show).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own memory/consideration (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to spend considering her answer before she knows that the capital of Tanzania is Dodoma?
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes338.1515151515210.5478706741
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Game Show Low.
stakes4Highest stakes338.08.15858443604
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Game Show 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s3_e11 · Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Introduction -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.355430263187 · v=0.0448463453658

Effect

effect_ids3_e11
subgroupExperiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Introduction -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.355430263187
v0.0448463453658
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceExternal
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Introductions Low vs Intro 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Introduction: reputation... wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the scenario (embarrassment/reputation consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... reflect very badly...
evidenceExternalEvidence is from an external written source (notebook).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge"?
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge"?
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes321.656250.970845158911
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Introductions Low.
stakes4Highest stakes322.093751.44488809702
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Intro 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s3_e12 · Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Possessions/Arson -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.435233708389 · v=0.0578572704137

Effect

effect_ids3_e12
subgroupExperiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Possessions/Arson -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.435233708389
v0.0578572704137
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Pvalue Low vs Pvalue 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own checking/inspection (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to check the sprinklers before she knows that they are working in the X room?
evidence_reliabilityMediumA week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is coded Medium for current harmonization.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes262.153846153851.61721508013
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Pvalue Low.
stakes4Highest stakes263.115384615382.67322910469
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Pvalue 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule

Appendix IV: Symmetrical Experiment (follow-up evidence-seeking prompts)

study_id: 4

Study

study_id4
labelAppendix IV: Symmetrical Experiment (follow-up evidence-seeking prompts)
objectiveFollow-up evidence-seeking experiment using symmetrical prompts ('minimum' vs 'maximum') to reduce asymmetry between positive and negative polarities.
study_languageEnglish
study_language_other
design
design_otherStakes (4 levels) within-subjects; prompt polarity (positive vs negative) between-subjects; prompts modified to use minimum/maximum wording.
manipulated_factorsPrompt polarity: evidence-seeking positive vs evidence-seeking negative; Prompt wording: minimum vs maximum (symmetrical prompts)
paradigmRating how much evidence is needed for knowledge
paradigm_other
notesEffects are scenario-by-polarity lowest-vs-highest stakes contrasts recovered from raw data; evidence-seeking cleaning is documented in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd. Evidence-seeking d values in this YAML use the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Sample

n_final105
recruitmentmTurk
recruitment_other
compensationmoney
compensation_other$1.75
characteristicsMTurk sample: 45 females, 59 males; ages 21–65; additional exclusions include prior completion of the first evidence-seeking experiment.
mean_age37.09
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Following screening procedures... leaving a final sample of 105 participants (45 females, 59 males) between 21 and 65 years old (M = 37.09 years, SD = 10.67 years).

Scale

labelother
points
anchorsNumeric free response (whole number of checks); positive prompt allows '0' and both prompts allow 'never'.
directionHigher numbers indicate more evidence required for knowledge / more checking still insufficient for knowledge.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
positive... "minimum numbers of times" ... negative... "maximum number of times"... enter a whole number... If you think Elaine knows without having to check, write "0"... If you think Elaine will never know... write "never".

Measures

knowledge_question_textWhat is the minimum number of times S needs to check F before she knows that P?
knowledge_question_first
additional_question_textWhat is the maximum number of times S can check F and not know that P?

Scenarios

No scenarios recorded.

Effects

s4_e1 · Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Paramedic -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.431103113867 · v=0.0179003744693

Effect

effect_ids4_e1
subgroupAppendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Paramedic -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.431103113867
v0.0179003744693
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Para Low vs Para 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Paramedic: lives... Megan, a paramedic...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (she is told the consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is the agent’s own checking/navigation (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan... has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine correctly?
evidence_reliabilityMediumFamiliarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes472.234042553191.59090849021
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Para Low.
stakes4Highest stakes473.01.94489297794
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Para 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s4_e2 · Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Vaccine -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.615892037585 · v=0.0207344359567

Effect

effect_ids4_e2
subgroupAppendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Vaccine -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.615892037585
v0.0207344359567
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Vacc Low vs Vacc 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine correctly?
evidence_reliabilityHighThe vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of the steps correctly.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes442.863636363642.25770936695
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Vacc Low.
stakes4Highest stakes444.704545454553.57367341108
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Vacc 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s4_e3 · Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Mountaineering -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.510345860764 · v=0.0244069491794

Effect

effect_ids4_e3
subgroupAppendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Mountaineering -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.510345860764
v0.0244069491794
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Mount Low vs Mount 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Mountaineering: personal injury... inspect the rope...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the situation (dangerous climb; consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
evidence_reliabilityHighThe relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes352.828571428571.20014004785
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Mount Low.
stakes4Highest stakes353.61.76901434836
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Mount 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s4_e4 · Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Game show -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.505090368385 · v=0.0184715642471

Effect

effect_ids4_e4
subgroupAppendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Game show -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Game show; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.505090368385
v0.0184715642471
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Game Low vs Game 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?"... "Dodoma"
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the scenario (money at stake in the game show).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own memory/consideration (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to spend considering her answer before she knows that the capital of Tanzania is Dodoma?
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes414.04.28368999812
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Game Low.
stakes4Highest stakes416.609756097565.91978905359
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Game 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s4_e5 · Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Introduction -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.206779836189 · v=0.0220955487438

Effect

effect_ids4_e5
subgroupAppendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Introduction -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.206779836189
v0.0220955487438
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceExternal
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Intro Low vs Intro 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Introduction: reputation... wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the scenario (embarrassment/reputation consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... reflect very badly...
evidenceExternalEvidence is from an external written source (notebook).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge"?
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge"?
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes452.222222222221.18492210885
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Intro Low.
stakes4Highest stakes452.466666666671.17936808966
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Intro 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s4_e6 · Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Possessions/Arson -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.751472126025 · v=0.0302478033315

Effect

effect_ids4_e6
subgroupAppendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Possessions/Arson -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.751472126025
v0.0302478033315
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Pval Low vs Pval 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own checking/inspection (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to check the sprinklers before she knows that they are working in the X room?
evidence_reliabilityMediumA week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is coded Medium for current harmonization.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes461.913043478261.17049062755
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Pval Low.
stakes4Highest stakes463.347826086962.43326384654
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Pval 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s4_e7 · Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Paramedic -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.198074155086 · v=0.0460036063285

Effect

effect_ids4_e7
subgroupAppendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Paramedic -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.198074155086
v0.0460036063285
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Para Low vs Para 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Paramedic: lives... Megan, a paramedic...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (she is told the consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is the agent’s own checking/navigation (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan... has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine correctly?
evidence_reliabilityMediumFamiliarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes301.833333333330.912870929175
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Para Low.
stakes4Highest stakes302.033333333331.09806517404
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Para 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s4_e8 · Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Vaccine -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.0235111844073 · v=0.033935712758

Effect

effect_ids4_e8
subgroupAppendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Vaccine -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.0235111844073
v0.033935712758
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Vacc Low vs Vacc 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine correctly?
evidence_reliabilityHighThe vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of the steps correctly.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes303.366666666672.93002687211
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Vacc Low.
stakes4Highest stakes303.433333333332.7377732373
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Vacc 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s4_e9 · Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Mountaineering -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.319806387682 · v=0.0156962540102

Effect

effect_ids4_e9
subgroupAppendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Mountaineering -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.319806387682
v0.0156962540102
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Mount Low vs Mount 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Mountaineering: personal injury... inspect the rope...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the situation (dangerous climb; consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
evidence_reliabilityHighThe relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes392.153846153851.91309148457
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Mount Low.
stakes4Highest stakes392.846153846152.39009426745
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Mount 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s4_e10 · Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Game show -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.480340771592 · v=0.058763399638

Effect

effect_ids4_e10
subgroupAppendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Game show -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Game show; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.480340771592
v0.058763399638
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Game Low vs Game 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?"... "Dodoma"
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the scenario (money at stake in the game show).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own memory/consideration (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to spend considering her answer before she knows that the capital of Tanzania is Dodoma?
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes233.608695652172.5179199647
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Game Low.
stakes4Highest stakes234.956521739133.06710199121
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Game 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s4_e11 · Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Introduction -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.217503158496 · v=0.0100083057383

Effect

effect_ids4_e11
subgroupAppendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Introduction -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.217503158496
v0.0100083057383
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceExternal
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Intro Low vs Intro 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Introduction: reputation... wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the scenario (embarrassment/reputation consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... reflect very badly...
evidenceExternalEvidence is from an external written source (notebook).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge"?
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge"?
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes341.970588235291.19304281509
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Intro Low.
stakes4Highest stakes342.294117647061.73256530359
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Intro 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s4_e12 · Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Possessions/Arson -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.443709626053 · v=0.0539589673019

Effect

effect_ids4_e12
subgroupAppendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Possessions/Arson -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.443709626053
v0.0539589673019
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Pval Low vs Pval 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own checking/inspection (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to check the sprinklers before she knows that they are working in the X room?
evidence_reliabilityMediumA week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is coded Medium for current harmonization.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes301.566666666670.727932041795
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Pval Low.
stakes4Highest stakes302.21.88277125169
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Pval 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule

Appendix IV: Matched Experiment (follow-up; '0' option removed)

study_id: 5

Study

study_id5
labelAppendix IV: Matched Experiment (follow-up; '0' option removed)
objectiveFollow-up evidence-seeking experiment with matched prompts by removing the '0' response option from the positive polarity prompts.
study_languageEnglish
study_language_other
design
design_otherStakes (4 levels) within-subjects; prompt polarity (positive vs negative) between-subjects; '0' response option removed to create matched design.
manipulated_factorsPrompt polarity: evidence-seeking positive vs evidence-seeking negative; Response options: '0' removed in positive prompts
paradigmRating how much evidence is needed for knowledge
paradigm_other
notesEffects are scenario-by-polarity lowest-vs-highest stakes contrasts recovered from raw data; evidence-seeking cleaning is documented in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd. Evidence-seeking d values in this YAML use the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Sample

n_final89
recruitmentmTurk
recruitment_other
compensationmoney
compensation_other$1.75
characteristicsMTurk sample: 33 females, 56 males; ages 20–70; positive polarity N=45, negative polarity N=44.
mean_age34.71
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
leaving a final sample of 89 participants... Participants were randomly assigned to a positive polarity condition (N = 45) or a negative polarity condition (N = 44).

Scale

labelother
points
anchorsNumeric free response (whole number of checks); '0' option removed; both prompts allow 'never'.
directionHigher numbers indicate more evidence required for knowledge / more checking still insufficient for knowledge.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
the additional option to write "0"... was removed... Modified enter a whole number... If you think Elaine will never know... write "never"

Measures

knowledge_question_textModified: enter a whole number... (no '0' option).
knowledge_question_first
additional_question_text

Scenarios

No scenarios recorded.

Effects

s5_e1 · Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Paramedic -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.864738958369 · v=0.029921005076

Effect

effect_ids5_e1
subgroupAppendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Paramedic -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.864738958369
v0.029921005076
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Para Low vs Para 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Paramedic: lives... Megan, a paramedic...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (she is told the consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is the agent’s own checking/navigation (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan... has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine correctly?
evidence_reliabilityMediumFamiliarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes432.023255813951.53511861017
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Para Low.
stakes4Highest stakes433.906976744192.67095447081
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Para 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s5_e2 · Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Vaccine -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.831369146354 · v=0.0373725222341

Effect

effect_ids5_e2
subgroupAppendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Vaccine -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.831369146354
v0.0373725222341
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Vacc Low vs Vacc 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine correctly?
evidence_reliabilityHighThe vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of the steps correctly.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes343.52.27303028283
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Vacc Low.
stakes4Highest stakes345.735294117653.04818697758
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Vacc 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s5_e3 · Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Mountaineering -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.947446942608 · v=0.049281922459

Effect

effect_ids5_e3
subgroupAppendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Mountaineering -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.947446942608
v0.049281922459
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Mount Low vs Mount 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Mountaineering: personal injury... inspect the rope...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the situation (dangerous climb; consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
evidence_reliabilityHighThe relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes262.653846153851.01753850806
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Mount Low.
stakes4Highest stakes263.923076923081.59807576599
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Mount 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s5_e4 · Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Game show -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-1.08022663846 · v=0.0370733112632

Effect

effect_ids5_e4
subgroupAppendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Game show -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Game show; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-1.08022663846
v0.0370733112632
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Game Low vs Game 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?"... "Dodoma"
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the scenario (money at stake in the game show).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own memory/consideration (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to spend considering her answer before she knows that the capital of Tanzania is Dodoma?
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes402.93.00256300773
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Game Low.
stakes4Highest stakes4010.259.14204151582
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Game 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s5_e5 · Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Introduction -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.394938706522 · v=0.0250901114773

Effect

effect_ids5_e5
subgroupAppendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Introduction -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.394938706522
v0.0250901114773
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceExternal
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Intro Low vs Intro 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Introduction: reputation... wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the scenario (embarrassment/reputation consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... reflect very badly...
evidenceExternalEvidence is from an external written source (notebook).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge"?
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge"?
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes412.04878048781.11694269128
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Intro Low.
stakes4Highest stakes412.512195121951.22723166557
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Intro 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s5_e6 · Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Possessions/Arson -- positive polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.491607487397 · v=0.0426130224156

Effect

effect_ids5_e6
subgroupAppendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Possessions/Arson -- positive polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.491607487397
v0.0426130224156
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Pval Low vs Pval 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own checking/inspection (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to check the sprinklers before she knows that they are working in the X room?
evidence_reliabilityMediumA week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is coded Medium for current harmonization.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes411.95121951221.67259109636
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Pval Low.
stakes4Highest stakes412.902439024392.16569709388
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Pval 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s5_e7 · Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Paramedic -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.146300512989 · v=0.0952413634855

Effect

effect_ids5_e7
subgroupAppendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Paramedic -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.146300512989
v0.0952413634855
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Para Low vs Para 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Paramedic: lives... Megan, a paramedic...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (she is told the consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is the agent’s own checking/navigation (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan... has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine correctly?
evidence_reliabilityMediumFamiliarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes183.333333333331.60879933308
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Para Low.
stakes4Highest stakes183.555555555561.42342677748
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Para 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s5_e8 · Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Vaccine -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.468635005912 · v=0.0370716846331

Effect

effect_ids5_e8
subgroupAppendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Vaccine -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.468635005912
v0.0370716846331
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Vacc Low vs Vacc 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine correctly?
evidence_reliabilityHighThe vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of the steps correctly.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes282.678571428572.03767426301
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Vacc Low.
stakes4Highest stakes283.857142857142.91502221215
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Vacc 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s5_e9 · Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Mountaineering -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.329402378246 · v=0.0855303160901

Effect

effect_ids5_e9
subgroupAppendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Mountaineering -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.329402378246
v0.0855303160901
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityHigh

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Mount Low vs Mount 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Mountaineering: personal injury... inspect the rope...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the situation (dangerous climb; consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
evidence_reliabilityHighThe relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is coded High.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes183.055555555560.998364675929
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Mount Low.
stakes4Highest stakes183.444444444441.33822631614
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Mount 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s5_e10 · Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Game show -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=-0.635638288618 · v=0.0608271017613

Effect

effect_ids5_e10
subgroupAppendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Game show -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Game show; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d-0.635638288618
v0.0608271017613
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Game Low vs Game 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?"... "Dodoma"
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the scenario (money at stake in the game show).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own memory/consideration (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to spend considering her answer before she knows that the capital of Tanzania is Dodoma?
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes262.576923076922.08178917133
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Game Low.
stakes4Highest stakes264.153846153852.82407234599
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Game 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s5_e11 · Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Introduction -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=0.0 · v=0.039714932657

Effect

effect_ids5_e11
subgroupAppendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Introduction -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.0
v0.039714932657
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceExternal
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Intro Low vs Intro 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Introduction: reputation... wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook...
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesStakes are described within the scenario (embarrassment/reputation consequences).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... reflect very badly...
evidenceExternalEvidence is from an external written source (notebook).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge"?
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge"?
evidence_reliabilityMediumThe evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes362.583333333331.87273672927
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Intro Low.
stakes4Highest stakes362.583333333331.64533973912
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Intro 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
s5_e12 · Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Possessions/Arson -- negative polarity · Within-Subjects · d=0.255925346834 · v=0.0544689106788

Effect

effect_ids5_e12
subgroupAppendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Possessions/Arson -- negative polarity
subgroup_descLowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
designWithin-Subjects
design_otherLowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
quality_flagsraw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
notesPublished article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Effect Size

metricSMD
d0.255925346834
v0.0544689106788
computed_fromgroups
needs_reviewfalse
notesComputed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderators

scenarioother
skeptical_pressureNo
awarenessYes
evidenceFirst Person
attribution_personOther
evidence_reliabilityMedium

Contrast

group_highstakes4
group_lowstakes1
sign_conventiond = mean(low) - mean(high)
other_notesLowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source columns: Pval Low vs Pval 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.

Moderator Coding

moderatorvaluereasonevidence
scenariootherScenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.
skeptical_pressureNoNo explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as a separate effect.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
awarenessYesThe risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
evidenceFirst PersonEvidence is from the agent’s own checking/inspection (first-person).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
attribution_personOtherPrompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
+ How many times does S need to check the sprinklers before she knows that they are working in the X room?
evidence_reliabilityMediumA week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is coded Medium for current harmonization.
Provenance
page
table_ref
tei_id
A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...

Groups

group_idlabelnmeansdseprovenance
stakes1Lowest stakes272.851851851852.31556113325
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low column: Pval Low.
stakes4Highest stakes272.29629629632.0156086085
Provenance
page
table_refanalysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
tei_id
Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high column: Pval 3.

Reported Test

test
t
f
chi2
z
df1
df2
p
reported_d
reported_r
notes

Quality Flags

raw_data_recovered; evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
Raw YAML
schema_version: '1.2'
paper:
  paper_id: francis2019stakesscalesskepticism
  citation: Francis, K. B., Beaman, C. P., & Hansen, N. (2019). Stakes, Scales, and Skepticism. Ergo, 6(16).
  short_label: Francis et al. (2019)
  doi: 10.3998/ergo.12405314.0006.016
  published: 'Yes'
  year: 2019
  language: English
  language_other: null
  research_objective: Investigate the scalarity of stakes effects on knowledge judgments by varying stakes magnitude across
    multiple scenarios using evidence-fixed and evidence-seeking paradigms, and replicate Sripada & Stanley (2012).
  data_availability:
    data_available_online: 'Yes'
    url: https://researchdata.reading.ac.uk/205/
    notes: 'Open University of Reading dataset (DOI: 10.17864/1947.205); source ZIPs/CSVs and README copied to out/external
      for reproducible extraction.'
  notes: Effect sizes were recovered from the public raw data; analysis/effect_sizes.qmd is the source of truth for computed
    d and v values. For evidence-seeking effects, YAML stores raw low-minus-high d values; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically. Study 1 negative-polarity evidence-fixed effects are reverse-coded to align with knowledge-attribution
    direction.
studies:
- study_id: 1
  label: 'Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design (multiple scenarios; 4 stakes levels; polarity manipulation)'
  language: English
  language_other: null
  objective: Test whether varying stakes magnitude (4 levels) affects agreement with knowledge attributions/denials across
    six scenarios, and whether this interacts with prompt polarity ('knows' vs 'doesn't know').
  sample:
    n_final: 97
    recruitment: mTurk
    recruitment_other: null
    compensation: money
    compensation_other: $1.75
    characteristics: 'MTurk sample: 44 females, 52 males, 1 non-binary; ages 20–71; positive polarity N=55, negative polarity
      N=42.'
    mean_age: 39.64
    mean_age_prov:
      page: null
      quote: leaving a final sample of 97 participants (44 females, 52 males, 1 non-binary gender identity) between 20 and
        71 years old (M = 39.64 years, SD = 12.00 years).
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: One hundred and twenty participants were recruited from MTurk and paid $1.75 each... leaving a final sample of
        97 participants... Participants were randomly assigned to the positive polarity condition (N = 55) or the negative
        polarity condition (N = 42).
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  design: null
  design_other: '2 (polarity: know vs doesn''t know; between-subjects) × 4 (stakes scale: 1–4; within-subjects) mixed design;
    six scenarios presented in a randomized block design.'
  manipulated_factors:
  - 'Prompt polarity: ''knows'' vs ''doesn''t know'''
  paradigm: Agreement with knowledge claim
  paradigm_other: null
  scale:
    label: Likert 7-point
    points: 7
    anchors: 1 = strongly disagree; 7 = strongly agree
    direction: 'Higher numbers indicate stronger agreement with the prompt sentence (note: control Prompt 2 uses a reversed
      Likert scale).'
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: Prompt 1... "You know the coin landed heads" 1 (strongly disagree) -7 (strongly agree)... Prompt 2... "You don't
        know that the coin landed heads" 1 (strongly agree) -7 (strongly disagree).
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  measures:
    knowledge_question_text: 'To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following claim: Subject x knows that P / doesn''t
      know that P (scenario-specific).'
    knowledge_question_first: null
    additional_question_text: null
  scenarios:
  - scenario_code: paramedic
    scenario_type: Paramedic GPS/wrong-turn scenario; stakes scaled by severity of consequences (lives).
    high_stakes_text: 'High stakes example: school bus carrying 50 children on fire; wrong turn → children die.'
    low_stakes_text: 'Low stakes example: one person with a broken arm; wrong turn → inconvenienced.'
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: 'Paramedic (low): "there is one person... with a broken arm... If Megan makes a wrong turn... will be inconvenienced".
        Higher stakes: "a school bus carrying 50 children... on fire... the children will die."'
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  - scenario_code: vaccine
    scenario_type: Vaccine checklist scenario; stakes scaled by number/severity of harms (lives).
    high_stakes_text: 'High stakes example: 100 participants die after excruciating pain if steps not followed.'
    low_stakes_text: 'Low stakes example: 1 participant gets mild cold-like symptoms if steps not followed.'
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: 'Low: "one human research participant... will give them mild cold-like symptoms." High: "100 human research participants...
        will kill them all after several days of excruciating pain."'
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  - scenario_code: mountaineering
    scenario_type: Mountaineering rope-inspection scenario; stakes scaled by injury severity (physical injury).
    high_stakes_text: 'High stakes example: 1,000-foot drop; fall would be fatal.'
    low_stakes_text: 'Low stakes example: 5-foot drop; minor injuries possible.'
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: 'Low: "drop... around 5 feet... minor injuries". High: "drop... around 1,000 feet... fatal".'
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  - scenario_code: game_show
    scenario_type: Game show trivia scenario; stakes scaled by money at stake.
    high_stakes_text: 'High stakes example: $1,000,000 at stake.'
    low_stakes_text: 'Low stakes example: $1 at stake.'
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: 'Low: "only $1 is at stake". High: "$1,000,000 is at stake".'
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  - scenario_code: introduction
    scenario_type: Guest-speaker name introduction scenario; stakes scaled by embarrassment/reputation.
    high_stakes_text: 'High stakes example: national television interview; wrong name → very embarrassed and reflects badly
      on university reputation.'
    low_stakes_text: 'Low stakes example: lunch with 5 colleagues; wrong name → slightly embarrassed.'
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: 'Low: "lunch... 5 colleagues... slightly embarrassed". High: "national television... thousands... very embarrassed...
        reflect very badly... university''s reputation".'
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  - scenario_code: arson
    scenario_type: Arson/sprinkler system scenario; stakes scaled by value of possessions (including baby).
    high_stakes_text: 'High stakes example: nursery room where baby sleeps; sprinklers failing puts baby at risk.'
    low_stakes_text: 'Low stakes example: storage room with garbage/recycling at risk.'
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: 'Low: "storage room... garbage and recycling". High: "nursery room, where her baby sleeps... the baby, is at
        risk from arson".'
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  effects:
  - effect_id: s1_e1
    subgroup: 'Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Paramedic -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Paramedic: lives... Megan... paramedic... accident...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan is familiar with the surrounding area... traveling on the right route to get to the accident.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The stakes are conveyed to the protagonist within the vignette (she is told the consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence comes from the agent’s own navigation resources/knowledge (familiarity + checking GPS).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Paramedic +Subject x... knows that she will make it to the accident without taking a wrong turn.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Participants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Familiarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Paramedic Low vs Paramedic 3.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 55
      mean: 5.50909090909
      sd: 1.34539994429
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Paramedic Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 55
      mean: 5.67272727273
      sd: 1.3479002251
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Paramedic 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.121513595094
      v: 0.011522200282
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data.
  - effect_id: s1_e2
    subgroup: 'Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Vaccine -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine has done this before, and she has a check list that specifies all of the steps...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of
            the steps correctly.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is based on the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (consulting a checklist).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine knows that she is making the vaccine correctly
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Participants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Elaine knows...").
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of
            the steps correctly.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability
          is coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Vaccine Low vs Vaccine 3.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 55
      mean: 5.98181818182
      sd: 1.14650691864
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Vaccine Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 55
      mean: 6.07272727273
      sd: 1.11976428496
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Vaccine 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.0802223158773
      v: 0.0153833192653
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data.
  - effect_id: s1_e3
    subgroup: 'Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Mountaineering -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Mountaineering: personal injury... mountain climbing expedition... inspect the rope...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Visibility is reducing... the drop... If not tied together securely... injuries...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The stakes are described within the scenario (agent is in the situation and consequences are described).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence comes from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Mountaineering +Subject x... knows that the rope is tied securely.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Participants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is
          coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Mountaineering Low vs Mountaineering 3.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 55
      mean: 5.83636363636
      sd: 1.21355975243
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Mountaineering Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 55
      mean: 5.96363636364
      sd: 1.03572548135
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Mountaineering 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.112815214964
      v: 0.0146515699543
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data.
  - effect_id: s1_e4
    subgroup: 'Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Game show -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Game show; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?" ... "Dodoma"'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Emma has recently read a list of the most obscure world capitals and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described as part of the protagonist’s situation (game show winnings/losses).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own memory (first-person evidence).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Game show +Subject x... knows that the capital of Tanzania is Dodoma.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Participants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: GameShow low vs GameShow 3.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 55
      mean: 5.27272727273
      sd: 1.45874813726
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: GameShow low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 55
      mean: 5.21818181818
      sd: 1.37019745929
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: GameShow 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.0385435142968
      v: 0.00648211042106
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data.
  - effect_id: s1_e5
    subgroup: 'Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Introduction -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: External
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Introduction: reputation... introduce a guest speaker... "Dr. Woodbridge"'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... it will reflect very badly...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the scenario as consequences of misnaming the speaker.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from an external written source (notebook with the name).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Introduction +Subject x... knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge".
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Participants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official
          or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Intro Low vs Intro 3.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 55
      mean: 5.98181818182
      sd: 1.22460740634
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Intro Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 55
      mean: 6.12727272727
      sd: 1.01934157134
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Intro 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.129102557916
      v: 0.0126670930616
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data.
  - effect_id: s1_e6
    subgroup: 'Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Possessions/Arson -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence comes from the agent’s own prior checking/inspection (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Arson +Subject x... knows that the sprinklers are working in the x room.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Participants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: A week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is
          coded Medium for current harmonization.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Personal Val Low vs Personal Val 3.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 55
      mean: 5.90909090909
      sd: 1.00503781526
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Personal Val Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 55
      mean: 5.89090909091
      sd: 1.19679707232
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Personal Val 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.0164528734539
      v: 0.0159562267938
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data.
  - effect_id: s1_e7
    subgroup: 'Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Paramedic -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Paramedic: lives... Megan... paramedic... accident...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan is familiar with the surrounding area... traveling on the right route to get to the accident.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The stakes are conveyed to the protagonist within the vignette (she is told the consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence comes from the agent’s own navigation resources/knowledge (familiarity + checking GPS).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Paramedic +Subject x... knows that she will make it to the accident without taking a wrong turn.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Participants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Familiarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Paramedic Low vs Paramedic 3. For this negative-polarity evidence-fixed effect, group means are reverse-coded
        knowledge-attribution scores (8 - raw agreement with denial).'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 42
      mean: 5.42857142857
      sd: 1.54829342941
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Paramedic Low. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 42
      mean: 5.64285714286
      sd: 1.30330590108
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Paramedic 3. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.149740006799
      v: 0.0210717079245
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.
        Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing
        d.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - negative_polarity_reverse_coded
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded
      to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.
  - effect_id: s1_e8
    subgroup: 'Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Vaccine -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine has done this before, and she has a check list that specifies all of the steps...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of
            the steps correctly.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is based on the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (consulting a checklist).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine knows that she is making the vaccine correctly
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Participants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Elaine knows...").
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of
            the steps correctly.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability
          is coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Vaccine Low vs Vaccine 3. For this negative-polarity evidence-fixed effect, group means are reverse-coded
        knowledge-attribution scores (8 - raw agreement with denial).'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 42
      mean: 5.61904761905
      sd: 1.43054451431
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Vaccine Low. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 42
      mean: 5.54761904762
      sd: 1.51741726905
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Vaccine 3. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.0484386042375
      v: 0.0103158241577
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.
        Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing
        d.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - negative_polarity_reverse_coded
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded
      to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.
  - effect_id: s1_e9
    subgroup: 'Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Mountaineering -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Mountaineering: personal injury... mountain climbing expedition... inspect the rope...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Visibility is reducing... the drop... If not tied together securely... injuries...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The stakes are described within the scenario (agent is in the situation and consequences are described).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence comes from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Mountaineering +Subject x... knows that the rope is tied securely.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Participants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is
          coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Mountaineering Low vs Mountaineering 3. For this negative-polarity evidence-fixed effect, group means are
        reverse-coded knowledge-attribution scores (8 - raw agreement with denial).'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 42
      mean: 5.40476190476
      sd: 1.79510885341
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Mountaineering Low. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 42
      mean: 5.33333333333
      sd: 1.72027602247
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Mountaineering 3. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.0406284919837
      v: 0.0125311746321
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.
        Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing
        d.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - negative_polarity_reverse_coded
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded
      to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.
  - effect_id: s1_e10
    subgroup: 'Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Game show -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Game show; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?" ... "Dodoma"'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Emma has recently read a list of the most obscure world capitals and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described as part of the protagonist’s situation (game show winnings/losses).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own memory (first-person evidence).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Game show +Subject x... knows that the capital of Tanzania is Dodoma.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Participants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: GameShow low vs GameShow 3. For this negative-polarity evidence-fixed effect, group means are reverse-coded
        knowledge-attribution scores (8 - raw agreement with denial).'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 42
      mean: 5.33333333333
      sd: 1.60284300262
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: GameShow low. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 42
      mean: 5.11904761905
      sd: 1.65577159012
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: GameShow 3. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.131502174867
      v: 0.0104410020413
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.
        Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing
        d.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - negative_polarity_reverse_coded
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded
      to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.
  - effect_id: s1_e11
    subgroup: 'Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Introduction -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: External
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Introduction: reputation... introduce a guest speaker... "Dr. Woodbridge"'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... it will reflect very badly...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the scenario as consequences of misnaming the speaker.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from an external written source (notebook with the name).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Introduction +Subject x... knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr. Woodbridge".
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Participants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official
          or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Intro Low vs Intro 3. For this negative-polarity evidence-fixed effect, group means are reverse-coded knowledge-attribution
        scores (8 - raw agreement with denial).'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 42
      mean: 5.97619047619
      sd: 1.19935135392
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Intro Low. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 42
      mean: 5.7380952381
      sd: 1.62389960956
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Intro 3. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.166792146986
      v: 0.0187820334615
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.
        Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing
        d.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - negative_polarity_reverse_coded
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded
      to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.
  - effect_id: s1_e12
    subgroup: 'Experiment 1: Evidence-fixed design -- Possessions/Arson -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence comes from the agent’s own prior checking/inspection (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Arson +Subject x... knows that the sprinklers are working in the x room.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Participants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ("Subject x knows...").
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: A week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is
          coded Medium for current harmonization.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Personal Val Low vs Personal Val 3. For this negative-polarity evidence-fixed effect, group means are reverse-coded
        knowledge-attribution scores (8 - raw agreement with denial).'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 42
      mean: 5.78571428571
      sd: 1.3710546819
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Personal Val Low. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 42
      mean: 5.80952380952
      sd: 1.41831392923
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp1_Evidence_Fixed_Design/x1_EF_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Personal Val 3. Negative-polarity responses reverse-coded as 8 - raw agreement with denial.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.0170691726829
      v: 0.0217680938563
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd using paired lowest/highest stakes responses.
        Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded to knowledge-attribution direction before computing
        d.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - negative_polarity_reverse_coded
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Negative-polarity agreement-with-denial responses were reverse-coded
      to knowledge-attribution direction before computing d.
  notes: Effects are scenario-by-polarity lowest-vs-highest stakes contrasts recovered from raw data. Study 1 negative-polarity
    evidence-fixed effects reverse-code agreement with “doesn’t know” to knowledge-attribution direction before computing
    d.
- study_id: 2
  label: 'Appendix II: Registered replication of Sripada & Stanley (2012) (pine nuts)'
  language: English
  language_other: null
  objective: Replicate Sripada & Stanley’s evidence-fixed design across three vignette pairs (basic; implicit/explicit; ignorant),
    measuring (i) evidence strength and (ii) agreement with a knowledge attribution.
  sample:
    n_final: 367
    recruitment: mTurk
    recruitment_other: null
    compensation: money
    compensation_other: $0.50
    characteristics: 'MTurk sample: 183 females, 246 males, 1 non-binary; ages 20–67; 63 suspicious/VPS responses removed;
      assigned to six conditions (N=58–68 per condition).'
    mean_age: 35.99
    mean_age_prov:
      page: null
      quote: Four hundred and thirty participants... between 20 and 67 years (M = 35.99 years, SD = 10.55 years)... Following
        screening procedures, 63 VPS and further suspicious responses were flagged and removed.
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: Four hundred and thirty participants... recruited from MTurk and paid $0.50... Following screening procedures,
        63 VPS and further suspicious responses were flagged and removed... randomly assigned to one of six conditions (N
        = 58 -68 per condition).
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  design: Between-Subjects
  design_other: 3 vignette pairs × 2 stakes (low vs high) between-subjects; each participant reads one vignette and answers
    Q1 (evidence strength) then Q2 (knowledge agreement).
  manipulated_factors:
  - 'Vignette pair type: Basic vs Implicit/Explicit vs Ignorant'
  paradigm: Agreement with knowledge claim
  paradigm_other: null
  scale:
    label: Likert 7-point
    points: 7
    anchors: 'Q1: 1 = Very weak evidence; 7 = Very strong evidence. Q2: 1 = Strongly agree; 7 = Strongly disagree.'
    direction: Higher numbers indicate stronger evidence (Q1). For Q2, anchors are Strongly agree (1) to Strongly disagree
      (7) (paper reports effects in terms of 'levels of agreement').
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: Participants responded to the first question (evidence prompt) along a 7-point Likert-type scale (1-Very weak
        evidence, 7-Very strong evidence) and to the second prompt (knowledge prompt) along another 7-point Likert-type scale
        (1-Strongly agree, 7-Strongly disagree).
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  measures:
    knowledge_question_text: '"Hannah knows her noodles are not topped with pine nuts."'
    knowledge_question_first: null
    additional_question_text: What is the strength of Hannah's evidence that her noodles are not topped with pine nuts?
  scenarios:
  - scenario_code: peanuts
    scenario_type: Pine-nuts/noodles vignette (Sripada & Stanley 2012 replication).
    high_stakes_text: null
    low_stakes_text: null
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: What is the strength of Hannah's evidence that her noodles are not topped with pine nuts?
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  effects:
  - effect_id: s2_e1
    subgroup: Basic — Evidence strength (Q1)
    subgroup_desc: Strength of evidence rating (7-point)
    design: Between-Subjects
    design_other: null
    moderators:
      scenario: peanuts
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: External
      attribution_person: null
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: What is the strength of Hannah's evidence that her noodles are not topped with pine nuts?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: This is the Sripada & Stanley-style pine-nuts restaurant vignette (coded as peanuts-style scenario).
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no explicit prompt says that the menu might be wrong.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Hannah is very much aware of this, and has known this for a very long time.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; the Basic vignette protagonist is aware of the allergy
          stakes.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; evidence is from an external written source (the menu).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: What is the strength of Hannah's evidence...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: DV is evidence-strength (not a knowledge attribution), so self/other knowledge-ascription coding is not applicable.
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Sarah says, 'The noodles may be topped with pine nuts.' Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain
            pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; menu.
    contrast:
      group_high: Basic_high
      group_low: Basic_low
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: null
    groups:
    - group_id: Basic_low
      label: Basic low stakes
      n: 58
      mean: 3.93103448276
      sd: 1.82441597447
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; low column:
          Basic Low__Strength_Evidence.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: Basic_high
      label: Basic high stakes
      n: 68
      mean: 2.89705882353
      sd: 1.82960484994
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; high column:
          Basic High__Strength_Evidence.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    reported_test:
      test: t
      t: 3.17
      f: null
      chi2: null
      z: null
      df1: 124
      df2: null
      p: 0.002
      reported_d: 0.57
      reported_r: null
      notes: 'Direction reported: strength of evidence higher in low-stakes scenario.'
      provenance:
        page: 12
        quote: In the strength of evidence comparison (left panel) there was a medium effect of stakes in the basic vignette
          pair, (t(124) = 3.17, p =.002, d = 0.57) with strength of evidence higher in the low stakes scenario.
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: Figure 2
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.565873199091
      v: 0.0332179460976
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    notes: Raw-data recovered values replace previously missing or rounded reported-d-only effect sizes.
    paradigm: Other
    paradigm_other: Strength of evidence rating
  - effect_id: s2_e2
    subgroup: Basic — Knowledge attribution (Q2)
    subgroup_desc: Agreement with 'Hannah knows...' reverse-coded to agreement
    design: Between-Subjects
    design_other: null
    moderators:
      scenario: peanuts
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: External
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: '"Hannah knows her noodles are not topped with pine nuts."'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: This is the Sripada & Stanley-style pine-nuts restaurant vignette (coded as peanuts-style scenario).
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no explicit prompt says that the menu might be wrong.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Hannah is very much aware of this, and has known this for a very long time.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; the Basic vignette protagonist is aware of the allergy
          stakes.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; evidence is from an external written source (the menu).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: '"Hannah knows her noodles are not topped with pine nuts."'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Participants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ('Hannah knows...').
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Sarah says, 'The noodles may be topped with pine nuts.' Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain
            pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; menu.
    contrast:
      group_high: Basic_high
      group_low: Basic_low
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: null
    groups:
    - group_id: Basic_low
      label: Basic low stakes
      n: 58
      mean: 3.72413793103
      sd: 1.84289154423
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; low column:
          Basic Low__Know_Prompt.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: Basic_high
      label: Basic high stakes
      n: 68
      mean: 2.91176470588
      sd: 1.70806073258
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; high column:
          Basic High__Know_Prompt.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    reported_test:
      test: t
      t: -2.57
      f: null
      chi2: null
      z: null
      df1: 124
      df2: null
      p: 0.011
      reported_d: 0.46
      reported_r: null
      notes: 'Direction reported: levels of agreement higher in low-stakes scenario.'
      provenance:
        page: 12
        quote: For the levels of agreement comparison (right panel) there was a smaller effect of stakes in the basic vignette
          pair, (t(124) = -.2.57, p =.011, d = 0.46) with levels of agreement are higher in the low stakes scenario.
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: Figure 2
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.458627340663
      v: 0.0327819403839
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; Q2 was reverse-coded to agreement before computing
        low minus high.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - q2_reverse_coded_to_agreement
    notes: Raw-data recovered values replace previously missing or rounded reported-d-only effect sizes.
    paradigm: Agreement with knowledge claim
    paradigm_other: null
  - effect_id: s2_e3
    subgroup: Implicit/Explicit — Evidence strength (Q1)
    subgroup_desc: Strength of evidence rating (7-point)
    design: Between-Subjects
    design_other: null
    moderators:
      scenario: peanuts
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: External
      attribution_person: null
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: What is the strength of Hannah's evidence that her noodles are not topped with pine nuts?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Same pine-nuts/noodles vignette family; coded as peanuts-style scenario.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no explicit prompt says that the menu might be wrong.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Implicit Low Stakes: "Hannah likes the taste of most foods and is not a very picky eater."'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no ignorance manipulation is present.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; evidence is from an external written source (the menu).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: What is the strength of Hannah's evidence...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: DV is evidence-strength (not a knowledge attribution), so self/other knowledge-ascription coding is not applicable.
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Sarah says, 'The noodles may be topped with pine nuts.' Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain
            pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; menu.
    contrast:
      group_high: ImplicitExplicit_high
      group_low: ImplicitExplicit_low
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: null
    groups:
    - group_id: ImplicitExplicit_low
      label: Implicit/Explicit low stakes
      n: 58
      mean: 3.62068965517
      sd: 1.94510258789
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; low column:
          Implicit Low__Strength_Evidence.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: ImplicitExplicit_high
      label: Implicit/Explicit high stakes
      n: 61
      mean: 3.4262295082
      sd: 1.96179353648
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; high column:
          Explicit High__Strength_Evidence.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    reported_test:
      test: t
      t: 0.54
      f: null
      chi2: null
      z: null
      df1: 117
      df2: null
      p: 0.588
      reported_d: null
      reported_r: null
      notes: Effect not significant per Figure 2 caption.
      provenance:
        page: 12
        quote: 'The effect of stakes was not significant in the other vignettes [Implicit/Explicit: t(117) = 0.54, p = .588;
          ...].'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: Figure 2
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.0995353183474
      v: 0.0336764491585
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    notes: Raw-data recovered values replace previously missing or rounded reported-d-only effect sizes.
    paradigm: Other
    paradigm_other: Strength of evidence rating
  - effect_id: s2_e4
    subgroup: Implicit/Explicit — Knowledge attribution (Q2)
    subgroup_desc: Agreement with 'Hannah knows...' reverse-coded to agreement
    design: Between-Subjects
    design_other: null
    moderators:
      scenario: peanuts
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: External
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: '"Hannah knows her noodles are not topped with pine nuts."'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Same pine-nuts/noodles vignette family; coded as peanuts-style scenario.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no explicit prompt says that the menu might be wrong.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Implicit Low Stakes: "Hannah likes the taste of most foods and is not a very picky eater."'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no ignorance manipulation is present.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; evidence is from an external written source (the menu).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: '"Hannah knows her noodles are not topped with pine nuts."'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Participants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ('Hannah knows...').
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Sarah says, 'The noodles may be topped with pine nuts.' Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain
            pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; menu.
    contrast:
      group_high: ImplicitExplicit_high
      group_low: ImplicitExplicit_low
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: null
    groups:
    - group_id: ImplicitExplicit_low
      label: Implicit/Explicit low stakes
      n: 58
      mean: 3.79310344828
      sd: 1.92635116117
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; low column:
          Implicit Low__Know_Prompt.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: ImplicitExplicit_high
      label: Implicit/Explicit high stakes
      n: 61
      mean: 3.27868852459
      sd: 1.87199668394
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; high column:
          Explicit High__Know_Prompt.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    reported_test:
      test: t
      t: -1.48
      f: null
      chi2: null
      z: null
      df1: 117
      df2: null
      p: 0.142
      reported_d: null
      reported_r: null
      notes: Effect not significant per Figure 2 caption.
      provenance:
        page: 12
        quote: 'Once again there was no significant effect of stakes in the other vignettes [Implicit/Explicit: t(117) = -1.48,
          p = .142; ...].'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: Figure 2
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.270934142758
      v: 0.0339432476044
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; Q2 was reverse-coded to agreement before computing
        low minus high.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - q2_reverse_coded_to_agreement
    notes: Raw-data recovered values replace previously missing or rounded reported-d-only effect sizes.
    paradigm: Agreement with knowledge claim
    paradigm_other: null
  - effect_id: s2_e5
    subgroup: Ignorant — Evidence strength (Q1)
    subgroup_desc: Strength of evidence rating (7-point)
    design: Between-Subjects
    design_other: null
    moderators:
      scenario: peanuts
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'No'
      evidence: External
      attribution_person: null
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: What is the strength of Hannah's evidence that her noodles are not topped with pine nuts?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Same pine-nuts/noodles vignette family; coded as peanuts-style scenario.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain Mongolian pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no explicit prompt says that the menu might be wrong.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: the protagonist being ignorant of the stakes involved (ignorant low/ignorant high)
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Paper explicitly describes the Ignorant manipulation as the protagonist being unaware of the stakes.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Sarah says, 'I heard that Mongolian dishes are often served topped with Mongolian pine nuts.' Hannah notes that
            the menu says her dish does not contain Mongolian pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; evidence is from external sources (testimony + menu).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: What is the strength of Hannah's evidence...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: DV is evidence-strength (not a knowledge attribution), so self/other knowledge-ascription coding is not applicable.
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Sarah says, 'I heard that Mongolian dishes are often served topped with Mongolian pine nuts.' Hannah notes that
            the menu says her dish does not contain Mongolian pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; menu.
    contrast:
      group_high: Ignorant_high
      group_low: Ignorant_low
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: null
    groups:
    - group_id: Ignorant_low
      label: Ignorant low stakes
      n: 62
      mean: 4.25806451613
      sd: 1.88118800858
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; low column:
          Ignorant Low__Strength_Evidence.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: Ignorant_high
      label: Ignorant high stakes
      n: 60
      mean: 4.03333333333
      sd: 1.88631707048
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; high column:
          Ignorant High__Strength_Evidence.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    reported_test:
      test: t
      t: 0.84
      f: null
      chi2: null
      z: null
      df1: 120
      df2: null
      p: 0.511
      reported_d: null
      reported_r: null
      notes: Effect not significant per Figure 2 caption.
      provenance:
        page: 12
        quote: 'The effect of stakes was not significant... [ ... Ignorant: t(120) = 0.84, p =.511].'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: Figure 2
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.119302333567
      v: 0.0328540310837
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    notes: Raw-data recovered values replace previously missing or rounded reported-d-only effect sizes.
    paradigm: Other
    paradigm_other: Strength of evidence rating
  - effect_id: s2_e6
    subgroup: Ignorant — Knowledge attribution (Q2)
    subgroup_desc: Agreement with 'Hannah knows...' reverse-coded to agreement
    design: Between-Subjects
    design_other: null
    moderators:
      scenario: peanuts
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'No'
      evidence: External
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: '"Hannah knows her noodles are not topped with pine nuts."'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Same pine-nuts/noodles vignette family; coded as peanuts-style scenario.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Hannah notes that the menu says her dish does not contain Mongolian pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; no explicit prompt says that the menu might be wrong.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: the protagonist being ignorant of the stakes involved (ignorant low/ignorant high)
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Paper explicitly describes the Ignorant manipulation as the protagonist being unaware of the stakes.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Sarah says, 'I heard that Mongolian dishes are often served topped with Mongolian pine nuts.' Hannah notes that
            the menu says her dish does not contain Mongolian pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; evidence is from external sources (testimony + menu).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: '"Hannah knows her noodles are not topped with pine nuts."'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Participants evaluate a third-person knowledge attribution ('Hannah knows...').
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Sarah says, 'I heard that Mongolian dishes are often served topped with Mongolian pine nuts.' Hannah notes that
            the menu says her dish does not contain Mongolian pine nuts.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: sripadastanley2012empiricaltestsinterest.yaml
        reason: Coded to match the original Sripada & Stanley extraction; menu.
    contrast:
      group_high: Ignorant_high
      group_low: Ignorant_low
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: null
    groups:
    - group_id: Ignorant_low
      label: Ignorant low stakes
      n: 62
      mean: 4.08064516129
      sd: 2.01061435107
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; low column:
          Ignorant Low__Know_Prompt.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: Ignorant_high
      label: Ignorant high stakes
      n: 60
      mean: 3.71666666667
      sd: 2.09188639762
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Replication_Experiment/xReplic_data_post_removal.csv; high column:
          Ignorant High__Know_Prompt.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    reported_test:
      test: t
      t: -0.98
      f: null
      chi2: null
      z: null
      df1: 120
      df2: null
      p: 0.329
      reported_d: null
      reported_r: null
      notes: Effect not significant per Figure 2 caption.
      provenance:
        page: 12
        quote: 'Once again there was no significant effect of stakes... [ ... Ignorant: t(120) = -0.98, p =.329].'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: Figure 2
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.177466028998
      v: 0.0329247734798
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; Q2 was reverse-coded to agreement before computing
        low minus high.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - q2_reverse_coded_to_agreement
    notes: Raw-data recovered values replace previously missing or rounded reported-d-only effect sizes.
    paradigm: Agreement with knowledge claim
    paradigm_other: null
- study_id: 3
  label: 'Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design (original prompts)'
  language: English
  language_other: null
  objective: Test for stakes effects on how much evidence is needed for knowledge (positive prompt) or can be had while still
    not knowing (negative prompt), across six scenarios and four stakes levels.
  sample:
    n_final: 109
    recruitment: mTurk
    recruitment_other: null
    compensation: money
    compensation_other: $1.75
    characteristics: 'MTurk sample: 54 females, 55 males; ages 21–74; positive polarity N=58, negative polarity N=51.'
    mean_age: 38.98
    mean_age_prov:
      page: null
      quote: leaving a final sample of 109 participants (54 females, 55 males) between 21 and 74 years old (M = 38.98 years,
        SD = 11.76 years).
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: One hundred and twenty participants were recruited from MTurk and paid $1.75... leaving a final sample of 109
        participants... Participants were randomly assigned to a positive polarity condition (N = 58) or a negative polarity
        condition (N = 51).
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  design: null
  design_other: Stakes (4 levels) within-subjects; prompt polarity (positive vs negative) between-subjects; six scenarios
    presented in a randomized block design.
  manipulated_factors:
  - 'Prompt polarity: evidence-seeking positive vs evidence-seeking negative'
  paradigm: Rating how much evidence is needed for knowledge
  paradigm_other: null
  scale:
    label: other
    points: null
    anchors: Numeric free response (whole number of checks); positive prompt allows '0' (knows without checking) and both
      prompts allow 'never'.
    direction: Higher numbers indicate more evidence required for knowledge (positive) / more checking still insufficient
      for knowledge (negative).
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: 'enter a whole number: 1, 2, 3 . . . etc. If you think Elaine knows without having to check, write "0"... If
        you think Elaine will never know... write "never".'
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  measures:
    knowledge_question_text: How many times does S need to check F before she knows that P?
    knowledge_question_first: null
    additional_question_text: How many times can S check F and still not know that P?
  scenarios: []
  effects:
  - effect_id: s3_e1
    subgroup: 'Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Paramedic -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Paramedic: lives... Megan, a paramedic...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (she is told the consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan... has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is the agent’s own checking/navigation (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine
            correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Familiarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Paramedic Low vs Paramedic 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 39
      mean: 1.94871794872
      sd: 1.12270158074
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Paramedic Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 39
      mean: 2.76923076923
      sd: 1.34676099668
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Paramedic 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.661808915227
      v: 0.0276260903612
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s3_e2
    subgroup: 'Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Vaccine -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine
            correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of
            the steps correctly.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability
          is coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Vaccine Low vs Vaccine 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 48
      mean: 2.47916666667
      sd: 1.58435950323
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Vaccine Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 48
      mean: 4.22916666667
      sd: 2.48604259847
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Vaccine 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.839514293934
      v: 0.0227377109024
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s3_e3
    subgroup: 'Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Mountaineering -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Mountaineering: personal injury... inspect the rope...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the situation (dangerous climb; consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is
          coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Mountaineering Low vs Mountaineering 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 44
      mean: 2.0
      sd: 1.20077494357
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Mountaineering Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 44
      mean: 2.88636363636
      sd: 1.38456456241
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Mountaineering 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.683958446104
      v: 0.0211432766559
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s3_e4
    subgroup: 'Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Game show -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Game show; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?"... "Dodoma"'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the scenario (money at stake in the game show).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own memory/consideration (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to spend considering her answer before she knows that the capital of Tanzania
            is Dodoma?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: GameShow low vs GameShow 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 27
      mean: 2.66666666667
      sd: 2.44948974278
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: GameShow low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 27
      mean: 5.48148148148
      sd: 3.8567659865
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: GameShow 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.871275071557
      v: 0.0732423045923
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s3_e5
    subgroup: 'Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Introduction -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: External
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Introduction: reputation... wrote down the speaker''s name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... reflect very badly...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the scenario (embarrassment/reputation consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr.
            Woodbridge"?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from an external written source (notebook).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr.
            Woodbridge"?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official
          or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Intro Low vs Intro 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 50
      mean: 1.74
      sd: 0.828325086533
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Intro Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 50
      mean: 2.4
      sd: 1.12485826772
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Intro 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.668163278631
      v: 0.0224825444801
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s3_e6
    subgroup: 'Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Possessions/Arson -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own checking/inspection (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to check the sprinklers before she knows that they are working in the X room?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: A week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is
          coded Medium for current harmonization.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Personal Val Low vs Personal Val 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 47
      mean: 1.53191489362
      sd: 0.905323959067
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Personal Val Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 47
      mean: 2.82978723404
      sd: 2.06754579294
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Pos_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Personal Val 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.813209200727
      v: 0.0306234050604
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s3_e7
    subgroup: 'Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Paramedic -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Paramedic: lives... Megan, a paramedic...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (she is told the consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan... has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is the agent’s own checking/navigation (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine
            correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Familiarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Paramedic Low vs Paramedic 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 35
      mean: 2.25714285714
      sd: 2.06287716185
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Paramedic Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 35
      mean: 2.14285714286
      sd: 1.83339699406
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Paramedic 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.0585626171598
      v: 0.0377444913971
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s3_e8
    subgroup: 'Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Vaccine -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine
            correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of
            the steps correctly.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability
          is coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Vaccine Low vs Vaccine 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 34
      mean: 2.70588235294
      sd: 1.9467052471
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Vaccine Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 34
      mean: 3.79411764706
      sd: 3.64134017757
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Vaccine 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.372724636385
      v: 0.034404491619
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s3_e9
    subgroup: 'Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Mountaineering -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Mountaineering: personal injury... inspect the rope...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the situation (dangerous climb; consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is
          coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Mountaineering Low vs Mountaineering 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 36
      mean: 1.86111111111
      sd: 1.26835726778
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Mountaineering Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 36
      mean: 2.47222222222
      sd: 1.88961237312
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Mountaineering 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.379749242052
      v: 0.0431311478436
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s3_e10
    subgroup: 'Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Game show -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Game show; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?"... "Dodoma"'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the scenario (money at stake in the game show).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own memory/consideration (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to spend considering her answer before she knows that the capital of Tanzania
            is Dodoma?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Game Show Low vs Game Show 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 33
      mean: 8.15151515152
      sd: 10.5478706741
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Game Show Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 33
      mean: 8.0
      sd: 8.15858443604
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Game Show 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.0160686971955
      v: 0.0283223978536
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s3_e11
    subgroup: 'Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Introduction -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: External
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Introduction: reputation... wrote down the speaker''s name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... reflect very badly...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the scenario (embarrassment/reputation consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr.
            Woodbridge"?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from an external written source (notebook).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr.
            Woodbridge"?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official
          or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Introductions Low vs Intro 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 32
      mean: 1.65625
      sd: 0.970845158911
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Introductions Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 32
      mean: 2.09375
      sd: 1.44488809702
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Intro 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.355430263187
      v: 0.0448463453658
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s3_e12
    subgroup: 'Experiment 2: Evidence-seeking design -- Possessions/Arson -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own checking/inspection (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to check the sprinklers before she knows that they are working in the X room?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: A week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is
          coded Medium for current harmonization.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Pvalue Low vs Pvalue 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 26
      mean: 2.15384615385
      sd: 1.61721508013
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; low
          column: Pvalue Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 26
      mean: 3.11538461538
      sd: 2.67322910469
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2_Evidence_Seeking_Design/x2_ES_Neg_data_post_removal.csv; high
          column: Pvalue 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.435233708389
      v: 0.0578572704137
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  notes: Effects are scenario-by-polarity lowest-vs-highest stakes contrasts recovered from raw data; evidence-seeking cleaning
    is documented in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd. Evidence-seeking d values in this YAML use the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
- study_id: 4
  label: 'Appendix IV: Symmetrical Experiment (follow-up evidence-seeking prompts)'
  language: English
  language_other: null
  objective: Follow-up evidence-seeking experiment using symmetrical prompts ('minimum' vs 'maximum') to reduce asymmetry
    between positive and negative polarities.
  sample:
    n_final: 105
    recruitment: mTurk
    recruitment_other: null
    compensation: money
    compensation_other: $1.75
    characteristics: 'MTurk sample: 45 females, 59 males; ages 21–65; additional exclusions include prior completion of the
      first evidence-seeking experiment.'
    mean_age: 37.09
    mean_age_prov:
      page: null
      quote: leaving a final sample of 105 participants (45 females, 59 males) between 21 and 65 years old (M = 37.09 years,
        SD = 10.67 years).
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: Following screening procedures... leaving a final sample of 105 participants (45 females, 59 males) between 21
        and 65 years old (M = 37.09 years, SD = 10.67 years).
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  design: null
  design_other: Stakes (4 levels) within-subjects; prompt polarity (positive vs negative) between-subjects; prompts modified
    to use minimum/maximum wording.
  manipulated_factors:
  - 'Prompt polarity: evidence-seeking positive vs evidence-seeking negative'
  - 'Prompt wording: minimum vs maximum (symmetrical prompts)'
  paradigm: Rating how much evidence is needed for knowledge
  paradigm_other: null
  scale:
    label: other
    points: null
    anchors: Numeric free response (whole number of checks); positive prompt allows '0' and both prompts allow 'never'.
    direction: Higher numbers indicate more evidence required for knowledge / more checking still insufficient for knowledge.
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: positive... "minimum numbers of times" ... negative... "maximum number of times"... enter a whole number... If
        you think Elaine knows without having to check, write "0"... If you think Elaine will never know... write "never".
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  measures:
    knowledge_question_text: What is the minimum number of times S needs to check F before she knows that P?
    knowledge_question_first: null
    additional_question_text: What is the maximum number of times S can check F and not know that P?
  scenarios: []
  effects:
  - effect_id: s4_e1
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Paramedic -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Paramedic: lives... Megan, a paramedic...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (she is told the consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan... has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is the agent’s own checking/navigation (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine
            correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Familiarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Para Low vs Para 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 47
      mean: 2.23404255319
      sd: 1.59090849021
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Para Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 47
      mean: 3.0
      sd: 1.94489297794
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Para 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.431103113867
      v: 0.0179003744693
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s4_e2
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Vaccine -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine
            correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of
            the steps correctly.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability
          is coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Vacc Low vs Vacc 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 44
      mean: 2.86363636364
      sd: 2.25770936695
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Vacc Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 44
      mean: 4.70454545455
      sd: 3.57367341108
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Vacc 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.615892037585
      v: 0.0207344359567
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s4_e3
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Mountaineering -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Mountaineering: personal injury... inspect the rope...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the situation (dangerous climb; consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is
          coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Mount Low vs Mount 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 35
      mean: 2.82857142857
      sd: 1.20014004785
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Mount Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 35
      mean: 3.6
      sd: 1.76901434836
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Mount 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.510345860764
      v: 0.0244069491794
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s4_e4
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Game show -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Game show; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?"... "Dodoma"'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the scenario (money at stake in the game show).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own memory/consideration (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to spend considering her answer before she knows that the capital of Tanzania
            is Dodoma?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Game Low vs Game 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 41
      mean: 4.0
      sd: 4.28368999812
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Game Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 41
      mean: 6.60975609756
      sd: 5.91978905359
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Game 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.505090368385
      v: 0.0184715642471
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s4_e5
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Introduction -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: External
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Introduction: reputation... wrote down the speaker''s name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... reflect very badly...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the scenario (embarrassment/reputation consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr.
            Woodbridge"?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from an external written source (notebook).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr.
            Woodbridge"?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official
          or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Intro Low vs Intro 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 45
      mean: 2.22222222222
      sd: 1.18492210885
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Intro Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 45
      mean: 2.46666666667
      sd: 1.17936808966
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Intro 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.206779836189
      v: 0.0220955487438
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s4_e6
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Possessions/Arson -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own checking/inspection (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to check the sprinklers before she knows that they are working in the X room?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: A week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is
          coded Medium for current harmonization.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Pval Low vs Pval 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 46
      mean: 1.91304347826
      sd: 1.17049062755
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Pval Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 46
      mean: 3.34782608696
      sd: 2.43326384654
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Pval 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.751472126025
      v: 0.0302478033315
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s4_e7
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Paramedic -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Paramedic: lives... Megan, a paramedic...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (she is told the consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan... has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is the agent’s own checking/navigation (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine
            correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Familiarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Para Low vs Para 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 30
      mean: 1.83333333333
      sd: 0.912870929175
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Para Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 30
      mean: 2.03333333333
      sd: 1.09806517404
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Para 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.198074155086
      v: 0.0460036063285
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s4_e8
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Vaccine -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine
            correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of
            the steps correctly.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability
          is coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Vacc Low vs Vacc 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 30
      mean: 3.36666666667
      sd: 2.93002687211
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Vacc Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 30
      mean: 3.43333333333
      sd: 2.7377732373
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Vacc 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.0235111844073
      v: 0.033935712758
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s4_e9
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Mountaineering -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Mountaineering: personal injury... inspect the rope...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the situation (dangerous climb; consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is
          coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Mount Low vs Mount 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 39
      mean: 2.15384615385
      sd: 1.91309148457
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Mount Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 39
      mean: 2.84615384615
      sd: 2.39009426745
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Mount 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.319806387682
      v: 0.0156962540102
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s4_e10
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Game show -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Game show; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?"... "Dodoma"'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the scenario (money at stake in the game show).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own memory/consideration (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to spend considering her answer before she knows that the capital of Tanzania
            is Dodoma?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Game Low vs Game 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 23
      mean: 3.60869565217
      sd: 2.5179199647
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Game Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 23
      mean: 4.95652173913
      sd: 3.06710199121
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Game 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.480340771592
      v: 0.058763399638
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s4_e11
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Introduction -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: External
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Introduction: reputation... wrote down the speaker''s name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... reflect very badly...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the scenario (embarrassment/reputation consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr.
            Woodbridge"?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from an external written source (notebook).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr.
            Woodbridge"?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official
          or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Intro Low vs Intro 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 34
      mean: 1.97058823529
      sd: 1.19304281509
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Intro Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 34
      mean: 2.29411764706
      sd: 1.73256530359
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Intro 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.217503158496
      v: 0.0100083057383
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s4_e12
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Symmetrical evidence-seeking experiment -- Possessions/Arson -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own checking/inspection (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to check the sprinklers before she knows that they are working in the X room?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: A week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is
          coded Medium for current harmonization.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Pval Low vs Pval 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 30
      mean: 1.56666666667
      sd: 0.727932041795
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Pval Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 30
      mean: 2.2
      sd: 1.88277125169
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.1_Symmetrical_Experiment/x2.1_Sym_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Pval 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.443709626053
      v: 0.0539589673019
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  notes: Effects are scenario-by-polarity lowest-vs-highest stakes contrasts recovered from raw data; evidence-seeking cleaning
    is documented in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd. Evidence-seeking d values in this YAML use the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
- study_id: 5
  label: 'Appendix IV: Matched Experiment (follow-up; ''0'' option removed)'
  language: English
  language_other: null
  objective: Follow-up evidence-seeking experiment with matched prompts by removing the '0' response option from the positive
    polarity prompts.
  sample:
    n_final: 89
    recruitment: mTurk
    recruitment_other: null
    compensation: money
    compensation_other: $1.75
    characteristics: 'MTurk sample: 33 females, 56 males; ages 20–70; positive polarity N=45, negative polarity N=44.'
    mean_age: 34.71
    mean_age_prov:
      page: null
      quote: leaving a final sample of 89 participants (33 females, 56 males) between 20 and 70 years old (M = 34.71 years,
        SD = 10.84 years).
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: leaving a final sample of 89 participants... Participants were randomly assigned to a positive polarity condition
        (N = 45) or a negative polarity condition (N = 44).
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  design: null
  design_other: Stakes (4 levels) within-subjects; prompt polarity (positive vs negative) between-subjects; '0' response option
    removed to create matched design.
  manipulated_factors:
  - 'Prompt polarity: evidence-seeking positive vs evidence-seeking negative'
  - 'Response options: ''0'' removed in positive prompts'
  paradigm: Rating how much evidence is needed for knowledge
  paradigm_other: null
  scale:
    label: other
    points: null
    anchors: Numeric free response (whole number of checks); '0' option removed; both prompts allow 'never'.
    direction: Higher numbers indicate more evidence required for knowledge / more checking still insufficient for knowledge.
    provenance:
      page: null
      quote: the additional option to write "0"... was removed... Modified enter a whole number... If you think Elaine will
        never know... write "never"
      tei_id: null
      table_ref: null
  measures:
    knowledge_question_text: 'Modified: enter a whole number... (no ''0'' option).'
    knowledge_question_first: null
    additional_question_text: null
  scenarios: []
  effects:
  - effect_id: s5_e1
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Paramedic -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Paramedic: lives... Megan, a paramedic...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (she is told the consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan... has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is the agent’s own checking/navigation (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine
            correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Familiarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Para Low vs Para 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 43
      mean: 2.02325581395
      sd: 1.53511861017
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Para Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 43
      mean: 3.90697674419
      sd: 2.67095447081
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Para 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.864738958369
      v: 0.029921005076
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s5_e2
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Vaccine -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine
            correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of
            the steps correctly.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability
          is coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Vacc Low vs Vacc 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 34
      mean: 3.5
      sd: 2.27303028283
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Vacc Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 34
      mean: 5.73529411765
      sd: 3.04818697758
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Vacc 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.831369146354
      v: 0.0373725222341
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s5_e3
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Mountaineering -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Mountaineering: personal injury... inspect the rope...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the situation (dangerous climb; consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is
          coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Mount Low vs Mount 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 26
      mean: 2.65384615385
      sd: 1.01753850806
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Mount Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 26
      mean: 3.92307692308
      sd: 1.59807576599
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Mount 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.947446942608
      v: 0.049281922459
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s5_e4
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Game show -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Game show; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?"... "Dodoma"'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the scenario (money at stake in the game show).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own memory/consideration (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to spend considering her answer before she knows that the capital of Tanzania
            is Dodoma?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Game Low vs Game 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 40
      mean: 2.9
      sd: 3.00256300773
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Game Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 40
      mean: 10.25
      sd: 9.14204151582
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Game 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -1.08022663846
      v: 0.0370733112632
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s5_e5
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Introduction -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: External
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Introduction: reputation... wrote down the speaker''s name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... reflect very badly...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the scenario (embarrassment/reputation consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr.
            Woodbridge"?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from an external written source (notebook).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr.
            Woodbridge"?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official
          or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Intro Low vs Intro 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 41
      mean: 2.0487804878
      sd: 1.11694269128
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Intro Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 41
      mean: 2.51219512195
      sd: 1.22723166557
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Intro 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.394938706522
      v: 0.0250901114773
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s5_e6
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Possessions/Arson -- positive polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; positive polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own checking/inspection (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to check the sprinklers before she knows that they are working in the X room?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: A week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is
          coded Medium for current harmonization.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Pval Low vs Pval 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 41
      mean: 1.9512195122
      sd: 1.67259109636
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Pval Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 41
      mean: 2.90243902439
      sd: 2.16569709388
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Pos_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Pval 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.491607487397
      v: 0.0426130224156
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s5_e7
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Paramedic -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Paramedic; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Paramedic: lives... Megan, a paramedic...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a paramedic accident/GPS vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Over the radio, Megan is told that there is one person at the scene of the accident...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (she is told the consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan... has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is the agent’s own checking/navigation (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine
            correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Megan is familiar with the surrounding area, she has GPS on her phone that she can check if necessary...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Familiarity plus GPS are ordinary fallible navigation resources, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Para Low vs Para 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 18
      mean: 3.33333333333
      sd: 1.60879933308
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Para Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 18
      mean: 3.55555555556
      sd: 1.42342677748
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Para 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.146300512989
      v: 0.0952413634855
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s5_e8
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Vaccine -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Vaccine; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Vaccine: lives... medical researcher... vaccine...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a vaccine-checklist vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine's assistant has informed her that there is one human research participant...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette describes the stakes to the protagonist (assistant informs her).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is the agent’s own checking/procedure-following (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does Elaine need to consult her check list before she knows that she is making the vaccine
            correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Elaine... has a check list that specifies all of the steps she needs to take... Elaine is following all of
            the steps correctly.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The vignette states that the checklist specifies the steps and the agent is following them correctly, so reliability
          is coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Vacc Low vs Vacc 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 28
      mean: 2.67857142857
      sd: 2.03767426301
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Vacc Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 28
      mean: 3.85714285714
      sd: 2.91502221215
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Vacc 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.468635005912
      v: 0.0370716846331
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s5_e9
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Mountaineering -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Mountaineering; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: High
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Mountaineering: personal injury... inspect the rope...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a mountaineering rope-inspection vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Visibility is reducing, making the climb increasingly dangerous...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the situation (dangerous climb; consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own inspection/checking (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times does S need to inspect the rope before she knows that it is tied securely?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The relevant evidence is repeated rope inspection for a directly inspectable condition, so reliability is
          coded High.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Mount Low vs Mount 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 18
      mean: 3.05555555556
      sd: 0.998364675929
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Mount Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 18
      mean: 3.44444444444
      sd: 1.33822631614
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Mount 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.329402378246
      v: 0.0855303160901
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s5_e10
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Game show -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Game show; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Game show: finance... "What is the capital of Tanzania?"... "Dodoma"'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a game-show trivia vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: As this is the final round of the game show, $1,000,000 is at stake...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the scenario (money at stake in the game show).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own memory/consideration (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to spend considering her answer before she knows that the capital of Tanzania
            is Dodoma?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Debra has recently read a list... and the city "Dodoma" pops into her head.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is memory of a recently read list without an additional check, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Game Low vs Game 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 26
      mean: 2.57692307692
      sd: 2.08178917133
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Game Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 26
      mean: 4.15384615385
      sd: 2.82407234599
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Game 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: -0.635638288618
      v: 0.0608271017613
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s5_e11
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Introduction -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Introduction; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: External
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Introduction: reputation... wrote down the speaker''s name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook...'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is a guest-speaker introduction/name-check vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: If Nicole introduces the guest speaker by the wrong name... reflect very badly...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Stakes are described within the scenario (embarrassment/reputation consequences).
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr.
            Woodbridge"?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from an external written source (notebook).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many minutes does S need to check her notebook before she knows that the guest speakers name is "Dr.
            Woodbridge"?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Siena wrote down the speaker's name-"Dr. Woodbridge"-in her notebook earlier in the day.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The evidence is a notebook record made earlier in the day, an external written record but not an official
          or independently verified source, so reliability is coded Medium.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Intro Low vs Intro 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 36
      mean: 2.58333333333
      sd: 1.87273672927
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Intro Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 36
      mean: 2.58333333333
      sd: 1.64533973912
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Intro 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.0
      v: 0.039714932657
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  - effect_id: s5_e12
    subgroup: 'Appendix IV: Matched evidence-seeking experiment -- Possessions/Arson -- negative polarity'
    subgroup_desc: Lowest vs highest stakes; Possessions/Arson; negative polarity; raw-data recovered.
    design: Within-Subjects
    design_other: Lowest and highest stakes are repeated measures within the polarity-specific sample.
    moderators:
      scenario: other
      skeptical_pressure: 'No'
      awareness: 'Yes'
      evidence: First Person
      attribution_person: Other
      evidence_reliability: Medium
    moderators_coding:
      scenario:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: 'Arson: personal value... Only a functioning sprinkler system can stop a fire set by an arsonist.'
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Scenario is an arson/sprinkler-system vignette; not bank/peanuts/bridge/typos.
      skeptical_pressure:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: How many times can Elaine consult her check list and still not know that she is making the vaccine correctly?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: No explicit doubt or counterconsideration is introduced in the vignette; prompt polarity is represented as
          a separate effect.
      awareness:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: Natalie is living in an area where there have been a series of fires set by arsonists recently.
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: The risk/stakes are described within the scenario context.
      evidence:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Evidence is from the agent’s own checking/inspection (first-person).
      attribution_person:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: + How many times does S need to check the sprinklers before she knows that they are working in the X room?
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: Prompt concerns whether the protagonist knows (third-person attribution).
      evidence_reliability:
        provenance:
          page: null
          quote: A week ago, Natalie checked that the sprinklers were working...
          tei_id: null
          table_ref: null
        reason: A week-old sprinkler check is treated as ordinary past verification projected forward, so reliability is
          coded Medium for current harmonization.
    contrast:
      group_high: stakes4
      group_low: stakes1
      sign_convention: d = mean(low) - mean(high)
      other_notes: 'Lowest vs highest stakes only; intermediate stakes levels are not included in this extracted effect. Source
        columns: Pval Low vs Pval 3. Evidence-seeking d in YAML uses the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.'
    groups:
    - group_id: stakes1
      label: Lowest stakes
      n: 27
      mean: 2.85185185185
      sd: 2.31556113325
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          low column: Pval Low.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    - group_id: stakes4
      label: Highest stakes
      n: 27
      mean: 2.2962962963
      sd: 2.0156086085
      se: null
      provenance:
        page: null
        quote: 'Computed in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd from Exp2.2_Matched_Experiment/x2.2_Matc_Neg_data_post_removal.csv;
          high column: Pval 3.'
        tei_id: null
        table_ref: analysis/effect_sizes_raw_data.csv
    effect_size:
      metric: SMD
      d: 0.255925346834
      v: 0.0544689106788
      computed_from: groups
      needs_review: false
      notes: Computed from post-removal raw CSV in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd; blank/'never'/non-positive responses were excluded
        and log-MAD outlier removal was applied over the scenario's four stakes cells. YAML d uses the raw low-minus-high evidence-seeking convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
    quality_flags:
    - raw_data_recovered
    - evidence_seeking_cleaning_rule
    notes: Published article reports omnibus four-level stakes analyses rather than this exact low-high, polarity-specific
      contrast; contrast recovered from open raw data. Evidence-seeking d values use the raw low-minus-high scale; downstream harmonization reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.
  notes: Effects are scenario-by-polarity lowest-vs-highest stakes contrasts recovered from raw data; evidence-seeking cleaning
    is documented in analysis/effect_sizes.qmd. Evidence-seeking d values in this YAML use the raw low-minus-high convention; downstream meta-analysis reverses evidence-seeking effects programmatically.